The Morning Briefing: Don't Believe the Democrats' Midterms Homestretch Hype

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Top O’ the Briefing

Happy Monday, dear Kruiser Morning Briefing friends. Sedgwick is never proud of himself whenever he becomes temporarily confused about which Beatles are still alive.


Don’t forget to drop me a line at [email protected] for a shot at being featured in the Mailbag of Magnificence.

Summer is winding down, and the election that seemed like it would never come is just a little over two months away. Speculation is more all over the place than Britney Spears during her self-hairstyling days. The Democrats have been feeling a lot more chipper lately, and the Republicans have been greatly tempering the enthusiasm they’ve been feeling for most of the year.

I’m feeling a bit contrarian this morning.

The Democrat propagandists in the mainstream media have been positively aglow with optimism in recent weeks, gushing about Biden’s presidency being completely transformed and rescued from the gutter. The fantastical storytelling bears no resemblance to reality, of course, but that never gets in the way of the Kool-Aid Kids.

The McConnell-friendly wing of the GOP has only recently gone full Eeyore on the prospects of the Senate flipping. Frequent readers of mine know that I’ve been a killjoy about that all year.

Another popular refrain is that the expected red wave in November has pretty much been canceled. Early in the summer, polling suggested that the Republicans were on their way to a romp. We all know how flawed polling can be, however, especially that far removed from election day.


When the Democrats recently took the lead on the RealClearPolitics generic ballot there was weeping and gnashing of teeth all throughout GOP Land.

As Matt covered over the weekend, that bump was short-lived:

But their lead in the generic ballot was small and, as expected, didn’t last long. Democrats had erased the GOP edge and managed to gain a 0.2-point lead in the generic ballot. But in the past ten days, the RCP average has swung back in favor of the Republicans, who now lead by 0.4 points.

It’s not a statistically impressive lead and is much smaller than the advantage held by Republicans earlier this year. But it’s a 0.6-point swing in the GOP’s favor in less than two weeks, which suggests that the Dobbs effect on polling has started to wane. This means that the economic issues that were benefiting Republicans are reclaiming their importance among likely midterm voters, and the FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago has remotivated them as well.

Those “economic issues” that Matt mentions are the real key to all of this.

The Democrat media hacks will be in full-court press mode between now and election day to make it seem like everything is rainbows and puppies and Obama riding on a unicorn. They’ll be working overtime to convince people that what’s happening isn’t really happening.

And what’s happening is this fetid garbage Joe Biden economy.


There aren’t any quick fixes for the Let’s Go Brandon inflation quagmire that the United States finds itself in right now. The Democratic base may be stupid enough to believe that the Inflation Reduction Act will actually reduce inflation, but the rest of us still have to buy groceries.

Matt mentions the effect of the Mar-a-Lago raid on Republican voters, which most definitely can’t be discounted. Whatever voter apathy may have potentially been a problem for the GOP was almost certainly taken care of by Merrick Garland and the Biden Stasi. Voters who may have been willing to sit this one out are probably nice and fired up now.

It may not just be the GOP-inclined voters who are being prodded to the polls by the FBI. The Mar-a-Lago raid combined with what we’ve learned about the FBI and the 2020 election could be inspiring some independent voters and moderate Democrats to throw the Republicans a vote or two in November.

Democrats can paint all of the pretty pictures that they want to for the next couple of months but none of their efforts will gloss over the enormous damage that President LOLEightyonemillion and the commie cabal running his brain have done to this country.

They know it too.

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