Former Vice President Joe Biden is leading President Trump in most of the recent polls, prompting the question: are we really going to do this again?
Presidential election polls have become Lucy holding the football as the rest of us play the role of Charlie Brown. Ever gullible, American voters promise to ignore all of the polls when the next election comes around, yet we seem hopelessly drawn to them. It’s a dysfunctional relationship that doesn’t seem to have any real hope of getting better. Let’s face it, after the polls got everything wrong in 2016, we’re all still fond of them if they’re telling us what we want to hear.
Biden has no doubt benefited from being locked in his house for the past couple of months. Avoiding the campaign trail and prolonged exposure in the public eye has been a gift from Heaven for Team Biden. Sure, his highly controlled, limited time appearances have been absolute train wrecks, but those are only being seen by a fraction of the audience that would be viewing his remarks on the nightly news if he were out campaigning.
When an appearance is preserved to share on social media, they manage to find one or two sentences where Biden didn’t sound clinically insane to create the appearance that he’s A-OK.
Rick wrote a post yesterday that examines how different methodologies can be used to predict victory for either Trump or Biden, showing that nobody really has a crystal ball that’s worth a damn.
(Image: nvodicka via Pixabay)
It has become more than obvious that the Democrats are willing to keep Americans financially destitute in order to throw the election to Biden, and that may be what is reflected in the current polling. However, as we have noted a couple of times this week, the states that are opening up are looking better than the states that are remaining on arbitrary lockdown. If that keeps playing out like that, it will reflect better on Trump and the Republicans.
President Trump probably relishes the opportunity to face Biden in a couple of debates. Crazy Joe the Wonder Veep hasn’t been able to read a short script in a controlled home video lately. Trump will mop the floor with that bumbling idiot in a debate. The Democrats are almost certainly going to make the case that it “just wouldn’t be safe” to have public debates.
The media will reflexively spin for Biden, emphatically proclaiming that he was the clear winner of any debate with Trump. All team Trump will have to do to counter that is put together a reel of Biden mangling the English language and losing his train of thought every four seconds and turn that into a campaign ad.
I’m not being mean to Biden here. I know a lot of people think it’s cruel to mock his decline. I maintain that it’s not really a decline. He’s always been a mush-mouthed idiot. I’m a veteran Biden basher, having consistently written during Barack Obama’s tenure that he was the safest president ever because nobody really wanted Biden to become top dog.
I wouldn’t even point to the spectacular failure of the polls in 2016 as a reason to be dismissive of the current Biden victory snapshot that they are providing us. Rather, I would point to the otherworldly volatility of all life in 2020 so far. Think about life since mid-March. It all went to hell a little more than two months ago. We’re still about five and a half months out from this election.
Is anyone willing to put money down on where the mood of the electorate will be then?
PJ Media senior columnist and associate editor Stephen Kruiser is a professional stand-up comic, writer, and recovering political activist who edits and writes PJ's Morning Briefing, aka The Greatest Political Newsletter in America. His latest book, Straight Outta Feelings, is a humorous exploration of how the 2016 election made him enjoy politics more than he ever had before. When not being a reclusive writer, Kruiser has had the honor of entertaining U.S. troops all over the world.
Follow on: Gab, Parler, MeWe