Shop Talk

This map by political guru Larry Sobato shows why I keep hedging on my election predictions.

These figures tell part of the real story:

Total Races: 435
Magic number: 218

Seats appearing safe or likely
Democrats: 189
Republicans: 196

Highly competitive seats leaning
Democrat: 15
Toss-up: 13

Total of safe, likely, leaning states
Democrats: 204
Republicans: 218
Toss-ups: 13

It seems likely that the Republicans will keep the 218 seats needed to maintain their majority.