Somebody Owes Me a Drink

Somebody Owes Me a Drink
Mort Kondracke on Gulf War II scenarios, talks to retired Army general Thomas McInerney:

McInerney said it should take only 20,000 or 30,000 U.S. ground troops to follow up the bombing campaign and that the United States could expect assistance from anti-Saddam elements in Iraq, including Kurds, Shiites and dissident elements in the military.

Compare that with VodkaPundit on February 13:

VodkaPundit Bet: We take Iraq with one heavy division or two armored cav regiments, one light division, and assorted special forces — all supported by Air Force and Navy pilots.

You read it here first. Two divisions worth of troops, compared to the nine we sent over in 1990-91. And that has less to do with the weaknesses in Saddam’s armed forces than in the new force multipliers of ours.

For those unfamiliar with Army organization, two divisions (depending on type) add up to about 20,000 to 30,000 soldiers.