Trump's Victory Was Obvious from the Outset
There's something glorious about election night in America. Whatever you say about the American people, they turn solemn and thoughtful when it comes to choosing their leaders. They make mistakes but they have the opportunity to correct them. A bit before midnight, after the New York Times put Trump's probability of winning above 95%, I wandered into the Irish bar around the corner from my house and talked to my neighbors. Many had voted for Clinton, reluctantly; some had voted for Trump, also with reservations; but all had something impassioned to say about why they had made their choice.
Lincoln was right: you can't fool all of the people all of the time. Hillary Clinton couldn't persuade the American people that 2+2 = 5. Americans know that their lives are worse, that their children face poorer prospects than they had, and that opportunity for advancement has disappeared. They wanted someone who would take their concerns seriously and do big things to correct them. In the primaries, they dismissed the small-ball conservatives of the Republican mainstream and chose the candidate who promised national greatness. It was objected that Donald Trump didn't have a clear program. He doesn't, but the people are less petty than the Punditeska. They know that the precondition for a successful presidency is the recognition that giant steps are required rather than baby steps. They have given a mandate to the one candidate who promised this, and will give Donald Trump the benefit of the doubt to work out the details.