Something big is reportedly happening Sunday. A deal that could reshape the Middle East, get oil back out in the market quicker, and mark the end of a conflict that began with some of the most decisive military action the United States has taken in decades. The terms sound genuinely good. Better than good, actually. But this is Iran we're talking about. So before anyone starts celebrating, it's worth asking: should we believe any of this until we actually see it signed?
It’s been a few months since the U.S. and Israel launched military operations against Iran. American forces destroyed Iran's Navy and killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in the opening phase. By mid-April, the U.S. began blockading the Strait of Hormuz, strangling Iran's oil trade and forcing the regime to the negotiating table. Weeks of talks followed. Now, according to reports, the two sides plan to sign a formal peace agreement this Sunday.
Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif confirmed as much Saturday. "We are closer to a peace deal than ever before," Sharif said. "With finalisation likely expected in the next 24 hours, Pakistan is preparing for the electronic signing of the peace deal immediately after, followed by technical level talks next week. We would like to thank United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran for their ongoing commitment during the negotiations, and we extend our sincere appreciation to our brothers in the region for their support. We are confident that this historic peace deal will form a strong foundation for lasting peace."
The reported terms are legitimately impressive. The Strait of Hormuz reopens immediately upon signing. No money changes hands, which stands in sharp contrast to the Obama era, when the U.S. handed Iran $1.7 billion in literal cash and no real concessions on nuclear development.
“Barack Hussein Obama’s Deal with Iran, the JCPOA, was an easy, beautiful, smooth road to a Nuclear Weapon, which Iran would have had six years ago, and would have used long before now,” Trump said in a post on Truth Social Saturday afternoon. “My Agreement with Iran is the exact opposite, A WALL TO NO NUCLEAR WEAPON!”
Trump added that Iran no longer wants a nuclear weapon, but that it won’t be allowed to have one, “either through purchase, development, or any other form of procurement.”
He continued, “The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL. Our relationship with Iran is a much different and better one than previous Administrations have had.”
Trump continued:
Unlike Obama’s Hundreds of Billions of Dollars in payments to them, including 1.7 Billion Dollars in green, cold cash, no money will exchange hands. At the appropriate time, when all is calm, we will go in and get the Nuclear Dust, buried deep under the powerful sunken granite mountains, thanks to our beautiful B-2 Bombers and their brilliant pilots, and downblend and destroy it, whether in Iran, or the United States. We look forward to working with Iran, and the entire Middle East, long into the future. Hopefully, this process will all work out quickly, easily, and smoothly. If it doesn’t, we have the ultimate alternative, hopefully never to be used again!
Obviously, the terms blow anything Barack Obama ever managed out of the water. The Iran nuclear deal Obama pushed through in 2015 gave the regime billions, lifted sanctions, and trusted Tehran to self-report its own compliance. Trump's approach produced actual military results and a deal that costs America nothing. The contrast writes itself.
But here's where my skepticism kicks in.
Iran has been lying to the international community for decades. It lied about its nuclear program. It funded terrorism across the region. It violated every agreement it found inconvenient. Make no mistake about it, trusting Iran is a gamble, and the regime has a long history of burning people who trusted it. I don’t believe Iran has given up on wanting a nuclear weapon.
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Let’s face it, this negotiation has also been a rollercoaster. Reports of a deal surfaced before, only to fall apart or disappear entirely. Trump himself dismissed a previously reported version of the agreement as inaccurate. So while the momentum feels real, I'm holding off on any celebration until ink actually hits paper.
Maybe Sunday changes everything. Maybe the Strait of Hormuz opens and a genuine new chapter of a nuclear free Iran begins, too. That would be a historic win for Trump and for America. But I'll believe it when I see it. I may trust Trump, but I don’t trust Iran.
