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Democrats Are in a Historic Crisis Heading Into 2026

AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite

Something is breaking inside the Democratic Party, and I can’t wait to see how this all plays out. New polling has exposed the internal fractures in the party that are very inconvenient in the middle of a midterm election. The findings point to a party in genuine crisis, driven by anger, split on direction, and struggling to find anything to agree on. So what does it actually look like when a political party starts eating itself?

CNN senior data analyst Harry Enten walked through the data, and the picture he painted was not flattering to his ideological allies.

"Democratic base is very much divided," Enten said. "Take a chop right down the middle. And they are very dissatisfied with the direction the party is going."

That’s an understatement. Only 46% of Democrats say they are satisfied with their party. The majority (52%) are dissatisfied. And Enten was direct about what that means. "So, so the Democratic Party, according to Democratic voters, well, their pd offness, if I could say that, has never been higher," he said.

For some context on just how historic that is, we have to go back to when Joe Biden completely tanked his debate with President Donald Trump. After that catastrophic night, 53% of Democrats said they were satisfied with the party with Biden as their nominee. Today's satisfaction rating sits below that number.

"That really, it really puts it into context how upset Democrats are," Enten said.

Congressional Democrats are feeling the heat, too. During the Schumer Shutdown in October 2025, congressional Democrats held a net approval rating of +22 points among their own voters. That number has since cratered to -9, a swing of more than 30 points. In every previous Congress, Democrats had maintained a positive net approval rating among their base.

That streak is over.

"And that's why I think these primaries are going to be so interesting because they're going to tell us, ok, well which way do Democrats want their party to go?" Enten said.

That question has no clean answer. When asked which direction the party should take, 28% said to move left, and 18% said not to move at all. But here’s the most interesting part. A plurality, 47%, said move to the center. Nearly half of Democrat voters want the party to move toward the center.

Wow.

Enten calls that a party divided, and yeah, it is, but it’s also a party that sees it’s gotten way too radical, and wants change… change that Democrats in Washington aren’t willing to make.

So what actually holds the coalition together right now? One thing: Donald Trump. Shared outrage toward the president is essentially the only glue holding the Democrat Party together.

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"The only thing that really unites Democrats right now is they are very upset with Donald Trump," Enten said. "And I think the candidates who are able to actually capture that, that's the candidates who are going to advance the general election."

A party with no platform beyond shared outrage cannot survive the pressure of a contested primary. The battle for the soul of the Democrat Party is coming, and based on everything the data shows, that fight is going to be messy. Republicans should be paying attention because a fractured opposition is an opportunity that should never be wasted.

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