Something strange happened in New Jersey on election night, and the numbers just don't add up. Republican Jack Ciattarelli lost the gubernatorial race to Democratic Representative Mikie Sherrill by a stunning 56% to 43% margin, a blowout that left pollsters scratching their heads and conservatives asking hard questions about what really went down in the Garden State.
This was supposed to be a competitive race. Trump only lost the state by six points a year prior, and, if you were following this race, you know that Ciattarelli had momentum heading into Election Day, picking up endorsements from local Democrats and labor unions along the way.
This was the only gubernatorial contest where the GOP had a realistic shot at flipping a seat, and the polls suggested it was within reach. And now Quantus Insights, one of the most accurate pollsters of the 2024 elections, is asking some uncomfortable questions.
“Our first September Labor Day poll showed Sherrill +10,” Quantus Insights wrote in a lengthy post on X. “By late September, after debates, campaign controversies, and the Kirk assassination, everything changed. The race tightened fast. More Republicans entered the likely electorate and independents started breaking for Ciattarelli.”
The post continued:
We confirmed this again in late October: Sherrill +3 from a random sample of 100,000 NJ voters showing Republicans fired up and turning out. However, the Democrats were holding the edge and keeping a breakout from occurring. We rather easily detected potential for a +5 to +6 Sherrill victory despite our polling showing +3.
Notably, Sherrill was only marginally improving with Hispanic voters, showing similar margins to 2024. While our last poll did show black voters finally swinging her way. We had Ciatt at single digit support among black voters.
Then election night happened and the results stunned nearly everyone.
Exit polls, turnout figures, demographic margins, and the final tally made little sense compared to virtually every public survey. But here’s the thing: This isn’t a case of one pollster getting it wrong and crying foul. They noted that 99% of pollsters missed the final margin at a similar scale.
“Something unusual happened in New Jersey, and we’re still unpacking why,” they wrote.
We were disappointed, and honestly, angry over our New Jersey polling.
— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) November 6, 2025
Our first September Labor Day poll showed Sherrill +10.
By late September, after debates, campaign controversies, and the Kirk assassination, everything changed. The race tightened fast.
More Republicans… https://t.co/jlzBMsh68E
But wait until you hear this: Right Angle News Network points to some eyebrow-raising numbers out of the race. Somehow, from 2021 to 2025, the state’s number of voters in the gubernatorial election jumped 500,000 — over twice the pace of population growth — and virtually all of those new votes went Democrat, even though Republicans have had the advantage in new voter registrations. It’s the kind of “coincidence” that’s starting to look a lot less like chance and a lot more like something worth investigating.
BREAKING - Conservatives are now pointing to inconsistencies in the New Jersey gubernatorial race after nearly 500,000 new voters appeared from 2021 to 2025, more than double the state’s population growth over four years, with almost all of them going to Democrats. pic.twitter.com/TR9qxRePv0
— Right Angle News Network (@Rightanglenews) November 6, 2025
Did 500,000-plus Democrats really just materialize out of thin air after sitting out the previous three gubernatorial elections? Where were these voters hiding all this time, and why did they suddenly decide to show up in force for Sherrill? The timing alone raises questions, especially in a state where Democrats already had a structural advantage and a well-oiled machine. Adding half a million new voters in a four-year period, with nearly all of them breaking in one direction, doesn't happen organically.
ICYMI: Trump’s Response to Pelosi’s Retirement Was EPIC!
It certainly raises some eyebrows. The polling was off by double digits, the turnout surge defied demographic trends, and the lack of voter ID requirements combined with lax enforcement of mail-in ballot rules created an environment ripe for abuse. Whether you call it irregularities, anomalies, or something more sinister, the New Jersey results deserve a closer look. Republicans got shellacked in a race that everyone believed was more competitive.
Something happened in New Jersey, and until someone can explain where half a million Democratic voters came from and why every pollster in the country got it so spectacularly wrong, the questions aren't going away.
Editor’s Note: The Schumer Shutdown is still ongoing, and polls are now showing Americans are increasingly blaming the Democrats for this mess, and Democrats are on the verge of caving.
Help us expose the truth—sign up with promo code POTUS47 for 74% off your VIP membership. This deal ends when the Schumer Shutdown is over, so take advantage now!
Join the conversation as a VIP Member