Unless you’re living under a rock, you know that Joe Biden’s 2024 campaign is in serious trouble. His poll numbers are worse than any president who has sought reelection at this point in their presidency, and it’s easy to understand why.
The situation for Biden looks so bad that Democrats are extremely worried. Some are even publicly calling on him to drop out, and I don’t doubt many were hoping he wouldn’t seek a second term in the first place. But he is convinced he’s the only Democrat who can beat Donald Trump. Of course, the vast majority of polls show that Trump is winning, both nationally and in swing states.
But with ten months to go, anything can happen--and make no mistake about it, it will happen. Just wait and see. While there’s no denying that Biden heads into 2024 from an extraordinarily weak position, his campaign is desperately going to try to turn things around and has clearly developed a campaign strategy to shift the political winds back in his favor. Recent events have made the three pillars of this strategy crystal clear.
Abortion, abortion, abortion
The radical pro-abortion left has been in war mode ever since Roe v. Wade and Casey v. Planned Parenthood were overturned in June 2022. It didn’t make abortion illegal; it merely sent the issue back to the states to regulate as they saw fit, which they have. The abortion issue is largely credited with the lack of a red wave in the 2022 midterm elections. Whether or not it was is up for debate, but Democrats clearly believe that nothing will keep liberal women more motivated to get out and vote in November than the abortion issue. Naturally, Biden plans to run on the issue of enshrining abortion into federal law so that the abortion lobby can make more money, which they can donate to Democrats. Expect to hear a lot more about this over the next ten months.
January 6 and "defending democracy"
When voters give you poor marks on all of the issues that matter in an election, you don’t really have a record to run on. Not even his own supporters can say he’s done a good job with the economy and national security. So when you got nothing, go with rehashing January 6, and repeat over and over that “democracy is on the line.” While polls have shown that the Democrats’ constant harping on January 6 is backfiring, Democrat donors are attracted to the rhetoric like moths to a flame. After Biden’s campaign speech blubbering about January 6, his campaign brought in more than a million dollars in donations.
Racial division
Joe Biden's political problems cannot be understated. Key coalitions that have reliably voted Democrat have been falling apart, particularly nonwhite voters. The problem is so bad that Rep. James Clyburn (D-S.C.) says he's very concerned that black voters won't show up for Joe Biden in November. So, naturally, Biden has to drum up some good ol' racial division. And that's well under way. Joe Biden has spent his entire presidency exaggerating the threat of white supremacy and is looking to poke the bear incessantly during the campaign. On Monday, he delivered a speech at a historic black church in South Carolina where a white man shot and killed nine parishioners in 2015. During his speech, he not only praised the violent and deadly Black Lives Matter riots as a "historic movement for justice," but he also accused “MAGA Republicans” of “trying to steal history” by mischaracterizing the Capitol riot. Go figure.
