Eighteen percent of Americans, or fewer than one in five, say they or someone in their family is better off because of the Affordable Care Act, according to a new poll by CNN. Nearly twice that number, 35 percent, say they or someone in their family is worse off. A larger group, 46 percent, say they are about the same after Obamacare as before.
In nearly all demographic categories — age, income, education, etc. — more people say they are worse off because of Obamacare than say they are better off.
♡bamaCare!!!’s supporters — and this study shows you can find some! — always point to this sick person who got insured despite their preexisting condition, or to that family who got covered at a rate they could afford thanks to the law’s subsidies.
Well, if a law churning that many dollars around can’t produce at least a few winners, then the government is even more incompetent than I think it is.
But the political test of a new government program — not the constitutional test, moral test, or anything other than politics — is if it creates enough winners to add to your coalition, without producing so many losers that your coalition suffers a net loss. Otherwise, the other side is going to gain enough support to alter or abolish that new program.
With that in mind, let’s go back to Byron York:
The CNN numbers are basically consistent with other surveys. The most recent Kaiser Family Foundation poll, for example, found that 18 percent said that they or their family were better off because of Obamacare, while 26 percent said they were worse off and 53 percent reported no difference.
Kaiser has been consistently in favor of ♡bamaCare!!! for years, and still found numbers roughly in line with CNN’s. But even if we take Kaiser’s more generous assessment, 26% is nearly 50% more losers than winners — which is a real problem for Democrats, especially when you remember that other polls show that anti-♡bamaCare!!! sentiment is much stronger than pro-♡bamaCare!!! sentiment. In other words, not only are their many more losers than winners, but the losers are much more motivated to do something about it.
And those 53% of Americans in the “no difference” column? Just wait until the law really starts to take effect. If current trends continue, they’re likely to become Angry Losers by a nearly 2-to-1 margin.
Those are potential millions of voters with one very serious pocketbook issue in need of addressing by some political party or other which didn’t foist this law on our country.