The PJ Tatler

Will Obama Quit Rather Than Lose Re-election?

On my radio show, I have been discussing the 2012 presidential race, and when mentioning Obama, I have said, “Obama can’t win re-election.  I don’t even know why he is running.”  I have made this declarative statement on my show, as well as interviews on other radio shows around the country.


While some have made mention that it is too early in the race to make such a statement, and that such statements are generally reckless, I stand firm on my words.  Certainly, I could be wrong, and I advocate that no one give up working hard on the race to unseat him, but the writing is on the wall….and, now, on the web.

In today’s  “Morning Jolt” from Jim Geraghty over at NRO, he – knowingly or otherwise – makes my case by quoting Morrissey and Noonan.  From Peggy Noonan, Geraghty quotes:

The market is dispirited. I’m wondering if the president is, too, and if that won’t carry implications for the 2012 race. You can imagine him having lunch with political advisers, hearing some unwanted advice — “Don’t go to Martha’s Vineyard!” — putting his napkin by his plate, pushing back from the table, rising, and saying in a clipped, well-modulated voice: “I’m tired. I’m going. If they want this job so much let them have it.”

Ed Morrissey, of Hot, gives his own take…with the same ending result:

Some will scoff at the notion that Obama and his large ego would walk away from the office…It’s a low-probability outcome, but it isn’t a zero probability outcome. Obama’s ratings have tanked this year along with the economy, and he hasn’t come up with an original thought on economic policy since Porkulus. The leaks of his rumored plan sound a lot like Porkulus II, a sequel to a flop. This gives the impression that Obama has run out of ideas, and as Noonan argues in her piece, his attacks on Republicans for their supposed refusal to pass a plan he has yet to even submit to them sounds like a man who realizes that he’s out of ideas, too.


I have been talking for months now that Obama’s problem with being President is that the job involves work. President Obama has never done work before – he is not a capitalist.  The capitalist accepts that a job has work attached to it, and that work gets measured – either you succeeded in your work, or you failed.  Obama has never had his work measured, and therefore becomes extremely agitated when people question his work, disagree with his answers or, in the case of groups like the Tea Party, actively work to undo his work – like Obamacare.

Since the election in 2008, which involved a complicit press that failed to do any proper vetting (no matter what Thomas Friedman may say!), Obama has shown that he is just not capable.  Not only does he understand this, but the voters do.  Independents have already turned their back on Obama.  Those who turned out for Obama in 2008, specifically hard-core Progressives, and black voters, won’t necessarily vote for another candidate, they’ll just stay home.  Obama’s record has made it impossible to win the “turn-out” battle.  To quote The Who, we won’t get fooled again.

In a recent interview on the radio show, Vodka’s Stephen Green stated that Obama would much rather resign with “dignity” than go through the embarrassment of losing an election.  He was unaware that I said the same thing just days before.  A loss is not only a repudiation of Obama, but it closes the book on America’s failed experiment with Statism.  It shows conclusively that America tried it, and rejected it. We don’t see ourselves as European Socialists – we’re Americans.  Believers in individual liberty, personal responsibility and free markets.  Believers in private charity, and the pursuit of Happiness.


Obama is on the ropes, and he may decide to simply slip through them, and head back to the locker room. However, people act in very strange ways when backed into a corner.  As I have written before, Obama has already showed an overt disdain for the current rule of law, and has engaged in a campaign of talking down the Constitution.  Who knows how we will react in the coming months?

This is why we must keep working, and take nothing for granted.  The writing is on the wall, and on-line: Obama can’t win re-election.

Join the conversation as a VIP Member