Is This How Socialism Comes to America? Tucker Carlson and the Splintering of the GOP.

AP Photo/Alex Brandon

Enough has been written about Tucker Carlson's transformation from an establishment conservative to a populist firebrand that I don't feel like I have to go over it again. I will say that I believe this transformation was legitimate and not an affectation or a gambit to make money. 

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That said, Tucker Carlson may be one of the most dangerous people in America. His threats to start a third party in the midst of a socialist wave follow a script written 80 years ago.

Historically, the vast majority of communist regimes came to power as minority groups seizing control rather than by winning a clear popular majority.

Because communist doctrine, specifically Vladimir Lenin's model of "vanguardism," explicitly rejects the need for popular electoral majorities in favor of a tightly disciplined, armed minority taking control on behalf of the working class, minority takeovers were the standard playbook throughout the 20th century.

In short, Communism has rarely won a majority in a popular national election (Nepal, Moldova, and Cyprus are a few of the exceptions). Most Communist takeovers occurred when the Communists were a part of a coalition government and, through violence, threats, and intimidation, ended up as the sole party in power. 

Nicaragua is a classic example. The Sandinistas were a small part of a coalition that overthrew the dictator Anastasio Somoza in 1979. On July 19, 1979, the Sandinistas entered Managua and established the Junta of National Reconstruction (GNR). To assure foreign governments (including the United States) and domestic allies that the regime would be pluralistic, the 5-member governing junta included moderate non-Marxists, such as corporate executive Alfonso Robelo and publisher Violeta Chamorro (widow of an assassinated anti-Somoza journalist).

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While the Junta was nominally a coalition, real power remained concentrated in the 9-member National Directorate of the FSLN (Sandinista National Liberation Front), which controlled the armed forces, state security, and police apparatus.

The U.S. reaction to this was typical of Jimmy Carter. The administration adopted a policy of "cautious engagement," welcoming the fall of the dictatorship while urging the new leftist leadership toward democratic moderation and human rights. 

You have to wonder what the Sandinistas thought of this. 

Frustrated by increasing censorship, state land expropriations, and alignment with Cuba and the Soviet Union, non-Marxist coalition members like Chamorro and Robelo resigned in early 1980. The Sandinistas had effectively marginalized independent political parties, restricted press freedoms, and converted the state apparatus into an extension of the FSLN, sparking the decade-long civil war with U.S.-backed Contras early in Ronald Reagan's presidency.   

The Sandinistas were able to act because the Somoza opposition was fractured by several domestic issues. When the Communists started to take control (using state-sanctioned, informal street mobs to suppress political rivals without using official military or police forces), the disunity of the opposition proved to be the death knell of any hope for democratic reform in Nicaragua.

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Can it happen here?

Tucker Carlson seems an unlikely cupbearer for Communists. But he and the MAGA rebels who met on his estate in Maine over the weekend seem eager to split the Republicans. They have no chance whatsoever of electing anyone on a third-party ballot line. So the effect on the U.S. will be to elect more Democrats to Congress. 

Anyone notice who's winning Democratic primaries these days?

“There’s a lot more nuts-and-bolts work that needs to be done there,” Joe Kent, a former Trump national security official, said in an interview on 'The Young Turks,' the progressive talk show. “Running as a third-party candidate is challenging. Not impossible, but it is very challenging. But that’s kind of the consensus that we came to, that the current system just simply doesn’t work, and we have to find something new to save our country.”

“We said no more foreign wars and we meant it and supported Donald Trump because he made that promise. But he’s betrayed us all,” Greene wrote in the post. “The movement has begun.”

The White House called them an "embarrassing collection of mostly whiny turncoats who dramatically overestimate their influence and relevance," while adding that Trump was the "unequivocal leader" of the Republican Party.

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This will only energize the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), who are on a hot streak this primary season. If Tucker Carlson and his MAGA rebels stick around for a few election cycles, the DSA will grow stronger, the Republicans will grow weaker, and Democrats will continue to be confused and hesitant in the face of a socialist wave that threatens to overturn 250 years of democratic governance.

Related: Tuesday Primaries Brought the Democrats No Closer to Figuring Out Who Will Lead Them

Editor's Note: The Democrat Party has never been less popular as voters reject its globalist agenda.

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