Enough has been written about Tucker Carlson's transformation from an establishment conservative to a populist firebrand that I don't feel like I have to go over it again. I will say that I believe this transformation was legitimate and not an affectation or a gambit to make money.
That said, Tucker Carlson may be one of the most dangerous people in America. His threats to start a third party in the midst of a socialist wave follow a script written 80 years ago.
Historically, the vast majority of communist regimes came to power as minority groups seizing control rather than by winning a clear popular majority.
Because communist doctrine, specifically Vladimir Lenin's model of "vanguardism," explicitly rejects the need for popular electoral majorities in favor of a tightly disciplined, armed minority taking control on behalf of the working class, minority takeovers were the standard playbook throughout the 20th century.
In short, Communism has rarely won a majority in a popular national election (Nepal, Moldova, and Cyprus are a few of the exceptions). Most Communist takeovers occurred when the Communists were a part of a coalition government and, through violence, threats, and intimidation, ended up as the sole party in power.
Nicaragua is a classic example. The Sandinistas were a small part of a coalition that overthrew the dictator Anastasio Somoza in 1979. On July 19, 1979, the Sandinistas entered Managua and established the Junta of National Reconstruction (GNR). To assure foreign governments (including the United States) and domestic allies that the regime would be pluralistic, the 5-member governing junta included moderate non-Marxists, such as corporate executive Alfonso Robelo and publisher Violeta Chamorro (widow of an assassinated anti-Somoza journalist).
While the Junta was nominally a coalition, real power remained concentrated in the 9-member National Directorate of the FSLN (Sandinista National Liberation Front), which controlled the armed forces, state security, and police apparatus.
The U.S. reaction to this was typical of Jimmy Carter. The administration adopted a policy of "cautious engagement," welcoming the fall of the dictatorship while urging the new leftist leadership toward democratic moderation and human rights.
You have to wonder what the Sandinistas thought of this.
Frustrated by increasing censorship, state land expropriations, and alignment with Cuba and the Soviet Union, non-Marxist coalition members like Chamorro and Robelo resigned in early 1980. The Sandinistas had effectively marginalized independent political parties, restricted press freedoms, and converted the state apparatus into an extension of the FSLN, sparking the decade-long civil war with U.S.-backed Contras early in Ronald Reagan's presidency.
The White House called them an "embarrassing collection of mostly whiny turncoats who dramatically overestimate their influence and relevance," while adding that Trump was the "unequivocal leader" of the Republican Party.
This will only energize the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), who are on a hot streak this primary season. If Tucker Carlson and his MAGA rebels stick around for a few election cycles, the DSA will grow stronger, the Republicans will grow weaker, and Democrats will continue to be confused and hesitant in the face of a socialist wave that threatens to overturn 250 years of democratic governance.
Editor's Note: The Democrat Party has never been less popular as voters reject its globalist agenda.
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