For decades, the Democrat Party has treated whole blocs of voters like property. Democrats assumed the support of black voters, Hispanic voters, and union households was owed to them, banked it every election, and moved on to the next cause. That kind of entitlement works for a while, but inevitably, these voters start to realize they’re being taken for granted.
And sure enough, the party that fancies itself the champion of minorities has spent the last several cycles watching minority voters walk out the door, because those voters figured out the party doesn't actually care about them.
Now another one of its most loyal constituencies looks ready to join them.
Jewish voters have been a pillar of the Democrat coalition for generations, even in the last presidential election. Kamala Harris won about 71% of them in 2024.
They are now unburdened by what has been. Why? Because Democrats repaid that loyalty by becoming the antisemitic party. The far left now controls the party's agenda, and its open sympathy for the Palestinian cause, Hamas, and Hezbollah has a growing number of Jewish voters asking why they keep showing up for people who can barely conceal their hostility.
In New York, where Jewish voters make up a bigger share of the electorate than in any other state, it’s a full red alert. Appearing on CNN News Central, the network's chief data analyst, Harry Enten, revealed that the Democrats' share of the Jewish vote has tanked. Andrew Cuomo carried Jewish voters by 55 points in 2018. Gov. Kathy Hochul (D-N.Y.) won them by 51 in 2022. This year, her lead has shriveled to 13. A 38-point swing toward the GOP in a single term tells you just how bad the situation is for New York Democrats.
And the collapse isn't confined to the Empire State. A new McLaughlin & Associates poll, published Monday, gives Republicans a 31-point lead among Jewish voters on the congressional ballot, 64% to 33%. For a group that has reliably voted Democrat for as long as anyone can remember, that's a seismic result.
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Now, full disclosure time: the survey covered 1,000 likely midterm voters nationwide, and Jewish respondents made up just 4% of that pool. The firm didn't say how many Jewish voters it actually reached or release a margin of error for the subgroup. Still, the national number lines up with what Siena is finding in New York, and when two separate data sets point in the same direction, believe me when I tell you that Democrats can't wave it away as noise.
And it’s not like they can say we didn’t warn them.
I mean, it doesn’t take a genius to understand that when your party coddles antisemites, Jews will become increasingly uncomfortable with the party. Common sense tells you that a party that grows more socialist and more openly hostile to Jewish Americans with every cycle has no reason to expect their votes. Yes, there are the likes of Jessica Tarlov, who will go down with the ship no matter how antisemitic the party gets, but there are plenty more who are discovering they have somewhere else to go. Republicans should make sure they feel welcome when they get there.
