The mainstream media wants you to believe that President Donald Trump's second term is already failing. For the past few weeks, left-wing outlets have been tripping over themselves reporting on polls claiming that Trump’s approval ratings are in free fall. But are they really?
Let’s take a look.
A Quinnipiac poll from earlier this month claimed that Trump’s approval ratings are underwater by 11 points, with only 42% approving and 53% disapproving. A CNN poll from the same time put Trump’s spread at -7.
There’s just one problem with polls like these: they’re garbage. Most of the polls showing Trump deeply underwater are from pollsters who failed big time in the 2024 elections.
What do some of the more accurate pollsters say? I’m glad you asked.
First of all, who were the most accurate pollsters of the 2024 election?
Dear @politico @dlippman @AlexThomp @maxwelltani
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) March 27, 2025
You guys sure nailed it ... inaccurate and less reliable ... that's us. What remarkable foresight.
"Rasmussen polls have been criticized for more than a decade for being too favorable to Republicans at the expense of being… https://t.co/2K2xrwc0HJ pic.twitter.com/QhkwztKG90
We have AtlasIntel at number one, followed by Rasmussen Reports, Quantus Insights, Suffolk, and Trafalgar. Of these top five, all but Suffolk are doing presidential approval polls. So let’s look at those four.
AtlasIntel
The latest poll from AtlasIntel shows Trump with 47% approval and 52% disapproval, a rather significant shift from the previous two polls. Is it an outlier or a real sign of a shift against Trump? I guess we’ll find out next month. Even so, it’s not nearly as bad as the highly cited Quinnipiac poll.
Rasmussen Reports
The latest Daily Presidential Tracking Poll from Rasmussen Reports shows President Trump with a 51% approval rating among likely U.S. voters, while 48% disapprove of his job performance, a spread of +3 points. Rasmussen’s polls have shown remarkable stability over the past few weeks, and Trump has remained in positive territory since returning to office.
Quantus Insights
The latest Quantus Insights poll of 1,000 registered voters shows Trump maintaining solid approval ratings, with 49.4% of Americans backing his leadership compared to 46.4% who disapprove, a spread of +3 points. “President Donald Trump enters the spring of 2025 with his political footing relatively intact,” the pollster concludes.
Trafalgar/Insider Advantage
Here we have another poll showing Trump with positive approval, with 50% approving and 45% disapproving, resulting in a spread of +5 points. “President Trump is maintaining his approval ratings and may be seeing them starting to strengthen even more,” pollsters Matt Towery (InsiderAdvantage) and Robert Cahaly (Trafalgar Group) said of their poll. “We believe that his ratings might have suffered a bit immediately following the Zelensky meeting but recovered and started to accelerate following his address to a joint session of Congress.” The poll is admittedly a few weeks old but still destroys the narrative that Trump is tanking.
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So if we took an average of these pollsters (much like how RealClearPolitics does), you would get Trump with an average spread of +1.5 points. I wouldn’t be surprised if the AtlasIntel poll is an outlier as well, but we won’t know until its next poll. But one thing is for sure: when you filter out the noise from pollsters with bad records, we see that Trump’s approval ratings are much better than the mainstream media is trying to tell us.
