This election may technically be a toss up, but I have a pretty good feeling about it tonight. I’ve said recently that I keep going back and forth between super positive and anxious, but right now, I’m feeling pretty good.
The main reason I feel this way right now, of course, is that I like how Trump is polling right now. He's polling stronger today than he was in either of the past two elections.
2 days until Election Day! Here’s how the 2024 presidential race compares to the same point in the 2020 and 2016 elections, according to the RCP poll averages. pic.twitter.com/hEsSAMchU7
— Matt Margolis (@mattmargolis) November 3, 2024
That's a big deal. And there are reasons to believe Trump will outperform the polls.
Mere days ago, The Hill reported that Democrats are already pointing fingers about whom to blame if Kamala loses. This is hardly a sign of confidence.
“People are nervous, and they’re trying to cover their a** and get a little ahead of Election Day. It’s based on anxiety, stakes, and the unique nature of this cycle,” a Democratic strategist said. “We didn’t have a traditional process for this election. We didn’t have a primary. People just had to fall in line.”
Democrats had no choice but to fall in line. They were following orders from the party’s top brass, who orchestrated a quiet takeover to push Joe Biden aside. Suddenly, the most unpopular vice president in the history of polling was thrust into the nomination, and Democrats were forced to rally around her.
That, and only that, explains the sudden bump in her approval ratings.
It wasn’t genuine support for her record; it was simply obedience to party strategy. And that only can get you so far.
“Not a single Democrat I speak with believes that Vice President Kamala Harris will win on Tuesday,” writes Douglas MacKinnon at The Hill. “All hoped for an open convention in August to identify and select the best candidate possible, but they were denied.”
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Now, not many on the left will admit this right now, but you can bet, should Donald Trump win, this will be the prevailing narrative from the left. We’ll hear a lot about how Kamala wasn’t the strongest candidate, how there should have been an open process for choosing Biden’s replacement... you know, all the things that those of us on the right have been saying for months. And it all makes sense. A year ago she was considered a drag on the Biden ticket, and many wanted Biden to swap her for someone else. And suddenly she's their savior? Get real.
Her popularity—at least her popularity relative to Trump—is a mirage. After 2020, Trump supporters didn't abandon him. But you can bet if Kamala Harris loses, she'll be tossed aside the same way they chucked Joe Biden to the curb. They'll blame her for not picking Josh Shapiro as her running mate and for avoiding tough interviews for so long that in the final weeks she was grossly unprepared.
Reading about this election, it’s clear there’s an energy and confidence on the right that seems absent on the left. If Democrats are already bracing to point fingers and cast blame, they know they’re in trouble. It doesn't mean Kamala can't or won't win, but it just doesn't feel like she will... not the way the Democrats are acting.
