In 1992, famed Democratic strategist James Carville coined the phrase "it's the economy, stupid," and it resonates to this day. Voters tend to vote in their best interests economically. If the economy is good, the incumbent party tends to win, and if it's bad, the incumbent party will likely lose. The American voters are extremely sour on this economy, but the economy may not be the issue that has Joe Biden moving back to Delaware.
Last month, a Harvard CAPS-Harris poll found that a plurality of voters, 35%, named immigration as their top concern, just barely over inflation, which came in at 32%
"Immigration and inflation were followed by 'economy and jobs,' listed as a top concern by 25 percent of those surveyed," reported The Hill, "while 'crime and drugs' and health care were each listed by 16 percent of respondents, the deficit and national security each by 14 percent of respondents and corruption and the environment were each named by 13 percent of people surveyed."
The Biden administration has clearly taken note of what the polls are showing, and it's desperately trying to flip the script and blame Trump and Republicans for the border crisis, particularly after the failure of the bipartisan border deal. It was terrible legislation, for sure, and Trump openly requested "blame" for its failure.
However, more Americans blamed Republicans and Democrats in Congress almost equally and blamed Biden far more than Trump. "More Americans trust that Trump would do a better job of handling immigration and the situation at the border than Biden — 44%-26% — according to the poll," ABC News explained at the time.
This was significant because, as I noted at the time, voters' views on immigration and the border crisis "are pretty much baked into the cake." After spending three years denying the border crisis, Americans aren't so quick to forget that Biden has been denying the crisis and enabling it the entire time.
On top of that, a recent Rasmussen poll shows that minorities are even more likely to call the border situation an "invasion" than white voters.
Is it accurate to call the border situation an "invasion?"
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) January 13, 2024
It's Accurate-
White: 60%
Black: 74% 👈
Other Minority: 73% 👈
All Voters: 65%
For @SenSchumer to launch this work permits canard in an election year looks like gross political malpractice. https://t.co/1hGvPsK3YB
How is it possible that minority voters, typically from strong Democratic constituencies, are more likely to call the border situation an invasion? The only logical explanation is that the relocation of immigrants is having a stronger (negative) impact on minority communities. I suspect minority communities are figuring out that Democrats care more about illegal immigrants than them.
In New York City, Mayor Eric Adams has received backlash over plans to house illegal immigrants, as has Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson. Last month, black voters in Chicago expressed so much frustration with the migrant crisis and the crime it created that they vowed to flip the city red.
We've seen polls showing that Biden is bleeding support from black and Hispanic voters, and that appears to be linked to the migrant crisis. These traditionally Democrat constituencies are waking up to the fact that they've been voting for a party that doesn't care about them.
