Why Was a Winner Projected in Iowa With <1% Votes Counted?

AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster

With less than 1% of the vote in, Decision Desk HQ and various news networks have projected Donald Trump to win the 2024 GOP Iowa caucuses. It was a victory declared in record time.

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CBS News was one of the first networks to call the race at 8:30 PM ET.

In other news, it’s cold in Iowa.

In all seriousness, Trump was expected to win and won’t be the most important story of the night unless you’re a Trump supporter.

"The people of lowa sent a clear message tonight: Donald Trump will be the next Republican nominee for President. It's now time to make him the next President of the United States,” Alex Pfeiffer, communications director for Make America Great Again Inc, said in a statement posted to X/Twitter. "Joe Biden's team just announced a massive war chest. Every dollar spent by President Trump's primary losers is a dollar that could be fighting Joe Biden. Once the DC RINOs are finished crying in their cocktails over tonight's results, it's time for Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, and Vivek Ramaswamy to face reality and stop wasting time and resources."

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Ron DeSantis’s press secretary, Jeremy Redfern, blasted the move by the media, pointing out that some precincts haven’t even voted yet. "I’m at a precinct that hasn’t even voted yet, and the media are trying to call the race for Trump,” he said in a post on X/Twitter.


"Absolutely outrageous that the media would participate in election interference by calling the race before tens of thousands of Iowans even had a chance to vote,” Andrew Romeo, DeSantis’s communication director, said in a post on X/Twitter. "The media is in the tank for Trump, and this is the most egregious example yet."


Even Trump’s former press secretary, Sean Spicer, was critical of the media’s rush to declare Trump the victor, tweeting, "The media calling the caucuses 30 minutes after they start is highly irresponsible."

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As we previously noted here at PJ Media, the caucuses are expected to influence the trajectory of the GOP presidential race in the coming weeks, regardless of a Trump victory. If DeSantis doesn’t pull off a significant second-place showing, it could pose a serious threat to his campaign. Similarly, if Haley comes in second and the margin is tighter than expected, it could boost her momentum going into New Hampshire, where she’s reportedly been surging. Make no mistake about it, the real story out of the evening will not be Trump but the margin of victory and the implications it holds for his overall campaign.



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