Another Cold Splash of Reality

I’m not the only one worried about inflation. Key bit from today’s IBT editorial:

John Williams, of the useful and iconoclastic Shadow Government Statistics website, measures prices the old-fashioned way. He employs the methodology used before 1992, when Labor Department changes started producing milder readings.

By his measure, inflation is close to 10%, tracking price increases for commodities, energy, food, precious metals and health care, among other items.

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Right now it seems like the only thing keeping inflation in check is the weak job market — and don’t tell me that last month’s jobs report, with 20% underemployment, shows some kind of underlying strength in our economy. Something has got to give, and it’s either going to be a another nasty bout of stagflation — “but the Keynesians say that’s impossible!” — or worse.

If the Fed keeps rates near zero and/or launches the good ship QE3, then I’m not sure how we avoid 1979 redux — in the best-case scenario. If the Fed jacks up rates to protect the dollar, then the economy tanks right before Washington hits a cash crisis as our debt service payments spiral up.

We’ve spent ourselves into oblivion, thanks to “respectable” economists like Paul Krugman. These neo-Keynesians gave moral and political cover to our political masters to do exactly what they love to do — pay off their constituents with other people’s money. “Paul Krugman” should become a grave insult, on par with “Benedict Arnold.”

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This monster in Washington must be choked off, and quickly. Time and options are damn near run out.

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