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"Say what?" (AP Photo/Jim Lytle)

Ouch:

I had always doubted Jeb’s ability to run an effective campaign in this environment for a few reasons: He is not as good of a retail politician as his brother, he has been away from elective office for too long, and times have changed. The voters were going to look for anyone other than an establishment pol with a dynastic last name, and the whole premise of their campaign was based around fundraising [while] today money matters way less. While there is an outside shot he can surface sometime next year, the odds are incredibly low and it will take the five candidates ahead of him falling apart.

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Matthew Dowd is about as establishment as it gets. His assessment makes it safe for Jeb’s moneymen to bolt for the exits.

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