NRSC smells blood in the water of Harry Reid’s Senate. Here’s why:
• At this point in the 2012 cycle, Democrats didn’t have a sense of urgency. Majority PAC had spent under $500,000 (4/5 of which was spent on Ben Nelson who proceeded to retire). Majority PAC’s only other expenditure was a measly $30,000 radio ad for Claire McCaskill.
• In a deep contrast to their calm of 2012, So far this year Majority PAC has spent a whopping $3.1 million plus on television advertising, in large part trying to save the political careers of endangered Democratic Senators Mark Pryor, Mary Landrieu and Kay Hagan.
• At this point, Majority PAC is so worried about Mary Landrieu that they are launching negative ads against the conservative that they fear most, Bill Cassidy.
The Senate ought to be easily winnable next year by any reasonably competent opposition party, which is why it’s even easier not to get one’s hopes up.