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The Betting Line

TradeSports bettors call it like so:

Bush/Cheney 286

Kerry/Edwards 252

Note that bettors think Bush has less than a 60% chance of capturing Florida, Iowa, or Ohio - keeping those states effectively in play. Same goes for Kerry getting Wisconsin.

So Bush's likely range of EC votes is really 227-291, and a range of 247-311 for Kerry. It would seem that going into the last two days of the campaign, TradeSports thinks Kerry's base is firmer than Bush's.

Commence nailbiting. . . now.

UPDATE: Frank Martin is not biting his nails.