The betting windows are now open: Hillary! Clinton’s Last Day As a Presidential Candidate. Get your markers down:
Recent surveys suggest that Hillary Clinton may be more reliant on the non-white vote in November 2016 than you might have assumed. A poll released Sunday from NBC/Marist reinforces one from last week by Quinnipiac University that found her to be as unpopular as Donald Trump in key swing states. In Iowa and New Hampshire, Clinton’s net favorability — those who view her positively minus those who don’t — was negative-23 and negative-20, respectively.
Among Democrats, we’ll point out, the numbers were much, much higher, which comports with her first-place position in caucus/primary polling in those states. But among all voters? It sinks, matching what Quinnipiac found in Colorado, Iowa and, to a lesser extent, Virginia. Part of this, as we’ve explained before, is that Clinton’s favorability tends to swell when she’s not running for office and dip when she is… notice, too, that her net favorability now is lower than at any point over the last 10 years.
Now there’s a heckuva candidate: the more you see of her, the less you like her. But it all makes sense. Hillary!’s poll numbers were always high based on sheer name-recognition alone; she’s the Kim Kardashian of politicians, and you can’t avoid her even if you wanted to. But when she waddles into your town, looking for your vote, you check to make sure your wallet is secure and your children are safely at home.