The PJ Tatler

Is Martha Coakley About to Choke Again?

We can only hope.

As White House Democrats prepare to stump in Massachusetts for Attorney General Martha Coakley in the governor’s race, a new Globe poll shows that national political conditions may be hobbling her chances for victory.

Republican Charlie Baker holds a slender lead of 2 percentage points over Coakley, 40 percent to 38 percent, an inversion of last week’s survey, in which Coakley was ahead by 3 percentage points. Among voters who said they will “definitely vote,” Baker enjoys an advantage of 41 percent to 37 percent.

That dynamic hints that Baker could benefit from a low-interest election, a possibility Coakley is looking to avoid by trying to fire up Democratic voters.

Two percentage points for a Republican is generally meaningless, given the Democrats’ superior get-out-the-vote effort. However, almost everything about the president and the party right now are dragging candidates down and Coakley, as we have seen in the past, is a fairly awful campaigner.

So, while it may be a bit early to get the champagne on ice, there is some good deep blue state news for the GOP.