The PJ Tatler

Sabato: Surf's Up, GOP!

An interesting chart from UVA professor Larry Sabato that lists various scenarios for the November elections.

“How big a wave” for the GOP?

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Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley’s unkind jab at farmers and Senator Chuck Grassley has made Iowa as competitive as Arkansas. If the right GOP candidate emerges from a very crowded, competitive primary,  Iowa could very well go Republican.

Much depends on President Obama’s approval numbers — which many analysts believe can’t get much better given the moribund economy and late summer-early fall fallout from more Obamacare surprises.  Republicans have to be able to field candidates who can ride the wave– regardless of whether they’re Tea Party or establishment.

If not — wipeout.