An interesting chart from UVA professor Larry Sabato that lists various scenarios for the November elections.
“How big a wave” for the GOP?
Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley’s unkind jab at farmers and Senator Chuck Grassley has made Iowa as competitive as Arkansas. If the right GOP candidate emerges from a very crowded, competitive primary, Iowa could very well go Republican.
Much depends on President Obama’s approval numbers — which many analysts believe can’t get much better given the moribund economy and late summer-early fall fallout from more Obamacare surprises. Republicans have to be able to field candidates who can ride the wave– regardless of whether they’re Tea Party or establishment.
If not — wipeout.