The PJ Tatler

VA Governor's Race Polling All Over the Place: Is Cuccinelli Still in It?


Democrat Terry McAuliffe now has a double-digit lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia governor’s race, according to the latest Washington Post/Abt SRBI poll.

The former Clinton fundraiser now tops the attorney general 51% to 39% among likely voters with a week left in the campaign. Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis received 8% of the vote. In the same poll taken last month, Mr. McAuliffe had an 8-point lead over Mr. Cuccinelli, 47% to 39%, with Mr. Sarvis receiving 10%.


Finally, some good news for embattled Virginia Republican Ken Cuccinelli, the candidate for governor running against Democrat Terry McAuliffe.

A new poll by Quinnipiac University shows Mr. Cuccinelli lagging by only four points behind Mr. McAuliffe, 41 % to Mr. McAuliffe’s 45 %, among likely voters.

Just 24 hours ago, on Tuesday, a Washington Post/Abt SRBI poll showed Mr. McAuliffe with a 12-point lead, running 51% to 39% against Mr. Cuccinelli. That poll promptly provoked a spurt of negative opinion pieces by Republican columnists and commentators about the alleged drag on the GOP by hard-line conservative tea-party types.

That’s such a stark difference that one wonders if the respondents in both polls were still drunk from last weekend’s Halloween parties. Republicans should be extremely wary of any polls, especially after last year, but it’s better to see one moving in the right direction rather than the wrong, no matter how skeptical you are.

Personally, I have always maintained that any Republican lead of less than four percentage points on election day is vulnerable to the always superior get-out-the-vote effort by the Democrats, so a four-point deficit isn’t that moving.

Still, the specter of a reboot of a fully functioning Clinton sleaze machine should haunt all people who don’t want to see Hillary in the Oval Office, and a McAuliffe victory would only be the beginning of that frightening return.