The current Rasmussen poll shows Giuliani besting Hillary 47-44. Over the last months, it has had Giuliani in the lead between 2 and 9 points. The same poll shows Hillary leading Thompson (F., of course) 48-44. (Rasmussen doesn’t seem to have bothered with a head-to-head with Romney. Hugh Hewitt should be upset with them.)
I think this adds up to very good news for Hillary at the present juncture. Why? Even with the Hsu Controversy, she seems to have the Democratic nomination sown up. The latest Real Clear Politics poll average shows her 16 percentage points ahead, basically where she has been all year. Giuliani isn’t doing badly either in the same poll average,coming in at an 11.7% advantage.
But one can’t help but think he is ever so slightly more vulnerable with Thompson finally about to come in officially. This will mean more of a fight on the Republican side and more influence for the extremists. Hillary no longer has to cater to Moveon, Kos and the rest, except with gestures. She can go to the center (where the presidency is won). The Republicans still have to cater to their base. Trouble for them. We shall see.
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