News & Politics

New Rasmussen Presidential Poll: Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

This just in:

Last week, Rasmussen Reports gave voters the option of staying home on Election Day if Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the big party nominees, and six percent (6%) said that’s what they intend to do for now. Clinton and Trump were tied with 38% support each; 16% said they would vote for some other candidate, and two percent (2%) were undecided.

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

Take all of this with a couple of grains of salt, of course. It’s a long way to election day and — especially in this topsy-turvy year — anything can happen. Trump could explode, Hillary could be indicted, either convention could pull a deus ex machina out of its hat at the conventions.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on April 27-28, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Ninety-one percent (91%) of Democrats now say Clinton is likely to be their party’s nominee. Eighty-nine percent (89%) of Republicans see Trump as the likely GOP nominee.

Trump leads 48% to 35% among men but trails Clinton by a similar 44% to 34% among women.

GOP vs. Democrats! Right vs. Left! Men vs. women! What’s not to like?