Today, the most well-known pollster in the Netherlands, Maurice de Hond, shared the results of his last poll of 2016. To sum it up: Geert Wilders and his Party for Freedom (PVV) are starting the new year with a bang.
According to de Hond, the PVV’s (virtual) lead is now 13 seats. If elections were held today, Wilders would get 36 seats in the 150-seat Dutch parliament. Current Prime Minister Mark Rutte, whose VVD has 41 seats at the moment, would lose 18 seats. This means that the gap between the biggest party,the PVV, and the second largest party, the VVD, would be 13 seats, which is very significant indeed for Dutch standards. For example, the difference between the two largest parties in parliament right now is a mere three seats: 41 for the supposedly classically liberal VVD, 38 for Labor (PvdA).
A gap of 13 seats would truly constitute a historic blowout.
Although some members of the establishment — first and foremost our prime minister — believe that Wilders has peaked “too early,” I doubt it. Just look at this graph showing “the developments in political support in 2016”:
As you can see, the PVV has led the VVD (and all the other parties) for almost the entire year. That changed in autumn, but it went back to normal rather quickly. To see the immigration hawks of the PVV leading in the polls has become normal.
Earlier this month, I explained why Wilders’ party continues to dominate:
Wilders owes his current success to several factors. First and foremost among them: the refugee crisis. Dutch voters have had enough of the tsunami of self-declared “refugees” (who all too often turn out to be nothing but gold diggers) flooding Europe, and the Netherlands specifically…
Another reason why the PVV is surging is the European Union. Dutch voters are fed up with the Big Brother-esque, elitist snobs in charge of the Grand European Project. They demand their sovereignty back…
Lastly, there is Wilders’ prosecution. In a sensible, free society, politicians can say whatever they want, especially when their statements are about public policy. Not so in the Netherlands, where the fascist, politically correct movement has been in charge of years. The result: Wilders was put on trial for saying he’d make sure that the Netherlands will have “fewer Moroccans” if he wins the elections. The multicultural-worshipping judges in his case found Wilders guilty of “incitement to discrimination.”
Mark my words: the populist PVV is set to become the biggest party in the Netherlands after the next elections. And that will enable similar movements in other European countries to break through as well, starting with the Front National in France and Alternative für Deutschland in Germany.