Take this as yet another sign that Hillary Clinton’s campaign is in deeper trouble than anyone thought possible:
MoveOn is endorsing Bernie Sanders for president after the liberal challenger to Hillary Clinton won 78 percent of votes cast by its membership.
Ilya Sheyman, MoveOn Political Action’s executive director, lauded Sanders for his run-away win and promised to help turn out voters in the early states of Iowa and New Hampshire, where the group has 43,000 members and 30,000 members respectively.
This is a massive vote in favor of Bernie Sanders, showing that grassroots progressives across the country are excited and inspired by his message and track record of standing up to big money and corporate interests to reclaim our democracy for the American people.
That’s bad news for Hillary Clinton, but what makes this even worse is that MoveOn will actively and energetically campaign for Sanders. Sheyman:
We will mobilize aggressively to add our collective people power to the growing movement behind the Sanders campaign, starting with a focus on voter turnout in Iowa and New Hampshire.
A few months ago, everybody assumed the nomination was Hillary’s for the taking, but her lead over Sanders has shrunk significantly in the early primary states. She’s only up 5.8% in Iowa (47.8% for her versus 42% for Sanders) and she’s actually trailing Sanders by 4.3% in New Hampshire (43.5% versus 47.8%). If that doesn’t change fast, she could very well lose both states to the socialist senator from Vermont.
And what happens then? Theoretically, Hillary can still be the nominee if she loses both Iowa and New Hampshire. Since neither early state is winner-take-all, a close finish would enable her to stay in the race for a long time coming.
However, taken together, these early states have a tremendous joint impact. You can lose one of them and still win the nomination. But both? Never say never, but it hasn’t been done yet. Nationally, Hillary’s still firmly in the lead (48.3% versus 35.5%), but those numbers will almost certainly change if Sanders finishes first in Iowa and New Hampshire.
Combine these poll results with MoveOn’s endorsement of Sanders and it’s suddenly clear that Hillary has a very serious problem.
Are we going to witness the second fall of Hillary Clinton? Will the Democratic base drop her just as hard in 2016 as they did in 2008, when she ran against Barack Obama? It seems, if not likely, than at the very least possible.
I’ll drink to that!