Michael Totten

Lebanon Is Getting Ready to Blow

I can’t even count how many articles I’ve read lately about Lebanon’s potential slide into civil war all over again if and when the Special Tribunal for Lebanon hands down an indictment for the assassination of former prime minster Rafik Hariri. Just about everyone seems to think at this point that Hezbollah will be fingered, and the Party of God has been growing more menacing by the month ever since this began to be seriously discussed by serious people.

I don’t have anything original or insightful to say about this since we’re dealing with pure speculation here, but count me among those who say yes, Lebanon is in serious danger of coming apart. And the country tends to become the geopolitical equivalent of a black hole that sucks everything in whenever that happens.