Against state House Speaker Thom Tillis, Hagan leads by only 2 points, 44 percent to 42 percent, according to the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling. She leads Rev. Mark Harris by 2 points as well, 43 percent to 41 percent, and nurse Heather Grant by 3 points, 43 percent to 40 percent.
Hagan trails physician Greg Brannon, the Rand Paul-endorsed candidate in the race, by 1 point: he leads 44 percent to 43 percent.
That’s a huge difference from PPP’s September poll, which gave Hagan leads of anywhere from 12 to 17 points against all possible GOP challengers.
These numbers come from lefty-left-left-left leaning PPP, and ought to be taken with a grain of salt. I’m just not certain which shoulder to throw it over, to the left or the right.
PPP releasing scary numbers like this could be a shot across Hagan’s bow, in a “Wake up, sister!” way. Or maybe it’s to make the Republicans get cocky and nominate a terrible candidate, henceforth known as the McCaskill-Akin Effect. Or it could just be that ObamaCare is going to mean absolute slaughter for the Democrats next fall, assuming the GOP can nominate enough not-crazies.