The word you may be looking for after reading the following is “Wow.” Or something more colorful.
North Carolina is looking very good for Team Romney, so good that they’re shifting a key asset to Ohio.
The spokesman, Robert Reid, will be moved to Ohio, which is increasingly viewed by both campaigns as the central battleground of the 2012 race.
“With the increasingly widening polls in North Carolina, we will continue to allocate resources, including key senior staff, to other states,” said Romney spokeswoman Sarah Pompei.
The move comes none too soon. A new poll out today puts Romney in the lead but within the margin of error in two battlegrounds.
Romney takes 48 percent support in Ohio, edging President Obama at 47, in the new poll conducted by American Research Group (ARG). It’s the latest survey to show Romney erasing the gender gap. He now trails Obama only 48 to 45 among female voters in the Buckeye State.
Obama had opened up a commanding lead in Ohio, which no Republican presidential candidate has lost in a successful bid for president. Before last week’s debate, some polls showed Obama with as big as a 10-point lead.
Obama now leads by 3, according to the Real Clear Politics average of polls.
Ohio is the third-largest swing state prize with 18 Electoral College votes at stake.
And in Colorado, likely voters went for Romney 50 to 46 over Obama, in ARG’s poll. Romney soundly outpaced Obama among female voters in the state, taking 51 percent support against Obama at 45.
Go ahead, read that last line to yourself again. Feel free to whistle and say “hoo-boy” under your breath. If you’re an Obama supporter, feel free to push this.
More: I almost forgot the Mortal Kombat admonition of the day–
Update: It’s getting harder to keep calm and finish him with these new poll numbers from Pennsylvania:
Susquehanna Polling and Research provided The Washington Examiner with a poll it conducted for state party officials that shows Romney with a 49 percent to 45 percent lead over President Obama.
It’s the first poll to show Romney leading among likely voters in the Keystone State.
“The polling is very clear that the race is certainly up for grabs and Republicans have a tendency to never believe it,” Susquehanna President James Lee told The Examiner.
Romney isn’t spending much time or money in Pennsylvania, which hasn’t backed a Republican presidential candidate since 1988.
Every other Pennsylvania poll shows Obama ahead, though by a narrowing margin. A Quinnipiac University poll taken around the same time as the Susquehanna poll shows Obama leading Romney 50 percent to 46 percent.
Susquehanna’s automated poll or 1,376 likely voters was taken between Oct. 11 and 13, before the second presidential debate Tuesday that many saw as a comeback for Obama since his Oct. 3 showdown with Romney.
Also read: Wargaming the Electoral College
Update: Democrat Bob Beckel says that if the Gallup poll is accurate, then the race is “over” for Obama.
Bryan –
Given today’s Gallup poll, Virginia and Florida have to be considered off the table for Obamee as well.
The real battle is in Ohio. Always has been. Once Obamee is broken there, Wisconsin, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Pennsylvania are the last of his firewall. They’ll fall in the last week of the campaign. From there it’s all over but the crying for the Dems.
I predict you’ll be penning Obamee’s epitaph November 1 or so.
If Andrew Sullivan doesn’t beat you to it.
Forget the firewall. I this is true…
http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/10/obama_oy_vey_american_jews_finally_have_had_enough.html
The castle is in flames.
I hope you’re correct, but the links in that article misquote the underlying survey results as to Jewish preferences.
In 2008, 122 million people voted, with Obama receiving 65 million and McCain receiving 57 million.
The Jewish vote was roughly 3% of the electorate, or 3.7 million (although Wiki lists 5.2 million American Jews as of 2010, so I’m being generous here).
In 2008, if the Jewish vote went 78/22 for Obama, then there were
2.9 million Jewish votes for Obama
0.7 million for McCain.
If the vote had been split 60/40 for Obama (for argument’s sake), then there would have been
2.2 million Jewish votes for Obama
1.4 million Jewish votes for Romney
Obama’s 2008 victory of 8 million votes would have been 6.5 million with a 60/40 spread. Unfortunately, most of these votes are located in solid blue states.
All that to say, the Jewish vote isn’t going to impact the election, IMO.
Jetty: For the most part your probably right, but the Jewish vote is a key component of the Democratic party coalition in Florida and Nevada and a loss of that level (assuming the results weren’t skewed by a too-small sample size) would make victory there almost impossible. Also, if 20% of the vote really does flip from 2008 to 2012, it probably puts New Jersey at least in play once Romney’s big gains among indies were factored in.
can’t wait to press the reset button on november 6th
Could have given people a heads up on North Carolina…as even in the wannabee-San Francisco enclave of Asheville, NC candidates have been running ads for local\state\congressional races with a picture of Obama on one side of the screen and the opponent on the other side of the screen with scary music and dire predictions of doom.
BOTH sides are trying to tie their opponent to the disaster in the WH, Barry Hussein Obama.
this romney thing is just getting started…
for the past 3.5 years, the media has been telling people that obama was going to be reelected.
this movement of the polls is just starting to sink into the public.
romney will garner affection, for lack of a better word, for proving he can compete, and possibly win. wait until the feeling is an inevitability if one was looking for a 10+ pt margin.
obama, on the other side of the coin, appears to be losing. ‘disaffection’, which in this case is more precise, will drag obama to the electoral depths.
libs are specialized at surrendering. the rout is on…
Collapse always seems so far away until it happens.
When it happens it always happens very suddenly and at the worst possible time for someone. That someone is Obama. That ‘worst possible time’ is now.
I’m enjoying Obama’s potential comeuppance as much as the next person. He has made it much more unlikely that we’ll come out of this in one piece.
Just remember that after Romney takes the oath, he has to figure out how to do the damn near impossible and pull us back from the abyss with (most likely) a Dem senate sabotaging everything they can. It may not be possible. We’re most likely screwed as a country and possibly as a civilization no matter what we do from here on out.
Just a cheery thought to keep in mind for after the election.
Are you a praying man?
If so: pray harder. If there is a God we’re going to need a lot of his help to pull off the impossible.
If not: work harder. IF there is no God and we’re on our own we’re going to have to contribute to the solution in every way possible.
If you’re smart: you’ll do a lot of both… along with thinking of better ways to do both as well.
I agree the senate could still be a problem, although I think the repubs have a decent chance to get to 50, which with a romney win would at least give them the senate leadership, and get rid of the Harry bReid stranglehold. But no matter what, a senate filibuster can stop a lot, so Romneys bipartisan skills will be put to the test. Hopefully there will be enough moderate dems there, like joe Manchin, to form a conservative/centrist coalition.
I believe the term that Glenn Reynolds uses is “preference cascade”….lol.
Now is the time to be very careful. Who knows what pushing the “panic” button for the Obama crowd entails. They meant it when they said “by any means necessary”. It’s time to be ready for an “October surprise” of unprecedented magnitude. If they really start sensing impending defeat I wouldn’t put anything past them. Sometimes in my darker moments I wonder if the one will leave office peacefully even if he does loose the election.
Team Obama’s ability to execute an “October Surprise” is limited. Any exercise of military power will be seen as a cynical political ploy. The bar for justified military intervention is HIGH. Retaliating in Libya, after all this time, will raise more protest than quell. They’re in a box.
I am beginning to think that Obama truly thought he would win up until two weeks ago, and therefore never set up an October surprise. Because frankly, if Obama thought he might lose, he would have figured out how to cancel the election all together.
I agree. I think the person most shocked by all these poll results is Obama himself.
I am of the (common) opinion that Obama’s handlers are in charge, and
they certainly knew long ago what was happening. Have they laid their
plans, or simply given up: ‘Eat, drink, and be merry..’ ?
He ha his October surprise, except everything he touches turns into sh*T – Benghazi was his October surprise, but instead – four americans are dead!
The October Surprise? My take? Ramped up voter fraud in all the strategic places.
Yes, a coup is possible. Let’s not forget that they will remain in power for more than two months after losing this election. This leaves them and their media confederates plenty of time to hatch a scheme.
After all, deceit, fraud, corruption and treachery come naturally to these scoundrels. They see nothing wrong with those sorts of things.
And what would happen in the aftermath of a coup? Say Obama, in the months after the election while he still had power, issuing some combination of executive orders granting him continuing power, then having both Romney and Ryan assassinated? Declaring the election invalid for some made up reason? Would the military step in and remove him and restore order before things got too out of hand? Would the media truthfully report what was happening?
For the record I don’t think this will happen, but I’m sure that people like Rham ‘dead fish’ Emmanual and others like him in this administration would try it if they thought they’d get away with it. There have also been some ominous signs with the recent massive ammunition purchases by various executive agencies, as well as orders granting executive control of the internet in an “emergency”. I think it highly unlikely he’ll attempt a coup if defeated in November, but he will cause as much mischief as possible in his last two months, make no mistake.
I keep seeing this suggestion that Obama might somehow manuever to stay in office by some kind of emergency order/ executive order, etc.. Again, look at the 20th Amendment. “The terms of the President and the Vice President shall end at noon on the 20th day of January…”. That’s it (Period). “…shall end…” Any attempt to continue in office if not elected would be in direct violation of the Constitution! The Electoral College, the Congress, or if neither are avaialable, existing law, would decide who would assume office, but at noon on 20 Jan 2012, unless elected, the Obambi is done, by law. If somehow he tried to remain in control, well, we could deal with it then, but, again- if not elected- nothing he or his minions can do would even approach a colorable legal claim to remain in office.
Of all the things we can worry about, this non-horse needs to stop being beaten. If any non-elected person tries to seize power in this country, I trust our law enforcement, our judiciary, our military, and, most of all, our people to stop that. Obama, the left, and all those folks, while not renowned for common sense, are still not dumb enough to try that- they are far too far from having the kind of power to even try.
I would not count on the press, but I still trust the military. If Obama tried to retain power by clearly unconstitutional means, I beleive the military would stop him.
A coup is not possible without the support (active or passive) of the military. Remind me what the Obama administration wants to do to the defense budget?
Naahhh… the military would not back obumma. And, there are too many firearms in the hands of private citizens. LEOs would not back any kind of coup either. (Those that did probably would not last that long.) Over half the states would openly revolt and the large cities would go up in flames. For a while there would be chaos, but in the end there would be 10mil less libs, for various reasons, NO progressives to be found and BHO would end up like Sadam Hussein or maybe Ghadaffi or maybe Mubarak.
What does worry me is that obumma will try to do to the USA in two months what he has planned for the next four years. With those UN treaties waiting to be signed that is our real worry. That and all those damned dem-lawyers out to steal the election.
“Sometimes in my darker moments I wonder if the one will leave office peacefully even if he does loose the election.”
Don’t get too concerned.
I think we’d all be quite amazed at the Presidents that would not have left if they actually had a choice.
The reasons that no President really has a choice:
1) The 2nd Amendment
2) The military is largely composed of patriotic Americans who would never countenance such an action
I fully believe he will leave the White House peacefully.
I fully believe that his successor will be lucky to find a single spoon in the silverware drawer, or roll or toilet paper in the bathroom. It will be like the the Huns sacked Rome.
I live in Arizona … relative safe Romney state. Does that mean my enthusiasm to vote is less? HELL NO! I deliberately kept my business calendar free so I’d be in town to be in person and vote against that two-bit loser in the White House currently. I will relish the opportunity to stride in and cast my vote for Romney … for all the down-ticket Republicans … and “No” on pretty much every damn ballot initiative.
Oh I agree. Romney will win my state but both my husband and I have arranged our schedules to be sure we vote. I’ve been sending out regular reminders to friends and neighbors about voting deadlines. I’ve had several contact me for absentee ballot information to send to their college kids. The enthusiasm here is high even though we know Romney doesn’t have to worry about Texas.
So pretty much I just sit here staring at the polls and saying to myself, “COME ON OHIO! WE’RE COUNTING ON YOU!” I feel like they’re the last leg in the 4×100 relay and those of us who aren’t in swing states are at this point just urging them on to cross that finish line to victory so we can get on with getting this country back on track.
Ditto.
Several months ago, I blocked out the entire day. Since then, I’ve turned down all requests for meetings and conference calls on Nov 6. No matter how long the lines are, I can and will wait, and I will cast my vote. In person.
Looking forward to it.
Great news. Kick those surrender monkeys in the nut sack!
I doubt they have anything there to kick.
Bryan’s Mortal Kombat reference is nice, but all I could think about was Grandpa’s quote:
http://download.lardlad.com/sounds/season10/wizard7.mp3
Preference Cascade!
http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/330887/campfire-stories-preference-cascade-haunts-campaigns
This is what happens when a totalitarian regime implodes. I know it seems like a stretch, but when one stacks up the media’s Obama worship (and their villification of anyone who fails to do likewise), Obama’s own arrogance, and the typical viciousness of his supporters, there was (is) a suppression of dissent that is not unlike what happened in the USSR. From the workplace to the classroom to the public stage people are simply afraid to state even the mildest of disagreement with Obama or his policies. And I believe that extends to the polls themselves. I think people lie to the pollsters about their support for the President.
Now that there is a crack in the dam, it will be a torrent. This election will be dissected by historians and media analysts for decades to come. Maybe the MSM will learn its lesson- more likely it will just die a slow death like Newsweek. For sure, the left won’t learn anything.
MSM delenda est.
R-bomb detonation in in 5-4-3-2-1… Happy October surprise, Barry!
Why does everyone keep acting like the polls are real? You’ve seen that they are wildly biased in favor of Dems. Even with stupid numbers, Obama looked to be just barely keeping ahead. Now that the election is upon us and the Media has to report something approaching the truth, the polls are looking less biased and the Obama campaign looking more underwater.
Let’s try a metaphor. Imagine that you are playing a guitar. Some jerk has untuned it completely. You sound like crap. You tune it up and all of a sudden you sound great. Did your guitar playing improve?
Romney was always ahead. The Media was just lying to you to keep you watching the news. If they’d told the truth three months ago that Obama was sunk, you’d all be watching something else and they would lose millions in ad revenue.
http://www.ncgunblog.com/2012/10/08/there-is-no-romney-surge/
The first step to understanding what is happening is to look closely at the motivations of the people lying to you.
They’re gonna have to ramp up the voter fraud. Now is the time for Acorn, now in a few hundred disguises, to pay back its old benefactor and legal advocate.
Is there another country besides Libya that can be bombed?
How many cities can they gin up riots in.
Is anybody REALLY sure that Romney doen’t have a stable of 14 year-old wives in the secret salt caves of Utah, probably under the Temple with the nubile wives of the racist elders. And how long would it take people to examine old divorce records anyway? Just cause Mitt swears he’s been married only once doesn’t make it so. Surely there are thousands of Anita Hill’s who will swear that Mrs. Romney has been threatened at the point of a knife to keep her mouth shut.
The last thing Axelred will depend on is the free-will of voters.
Voter fraud only works in close elections. Romney needs better Security, now.
The best security he can have is to never be in the same place as Ryan. The left hates the thought of President Romney, but they are terrified of the prospect of a President Ryan.
I’ve always said that Acorn are like cockroaches. Shine a light on them and they will scatter, but they soon come crawling back. The video that took down the old acorn was a spotlight, but the roaches have regrouped. Does anybody really think that any of the worthless “community organizer” types running the voter fraud before have left politics and gotten real jobs? Of course not, they’re still around and still just as fraudulent as ever. Someone in another comment said that he saw an Obama-Biden sign in a graveyard. How true that is. The dead will be voting this year, along with god knows how many illegals. We need this election to be such a landslide that they can’t steal it, but it will be tough.
I’d like to point out to Axelrod and Obama that there is winning, there is winning dirty/ugly, there is losing, and there is losing dirty/ugly. As they consider further scorched earth tactics, they need to realize that if they are administered a drubbing three weeks from now, on top of the shellacking of 2010, then I can’t see how they recover from not just losing (Grover Cleveland), but losing ugly.
In other words, the public still likes Bob Dole. It just didn’t want him as President. They still like Bill, even as they are aware of his faults. But it’s unlikely to listen to someone they judge just not fit for the job, but a egocentric jerk as well whose fingers had to be prised off the Resolution desk.
Basically, if the Obama camp continues to go around painitng Mitt Romney as the Scrooge McDuck-version of the anti-Christ, and then it turns out the public ends up liking him or the job he does once in office, then Obama is essentially done in American politics—having basically been judged as having lied to the people in order to keep his job.
A scorched Earth policy depends on ultimate success, if Romney wins, on him doing a bad job once in office. If he doesn’t, then the Obama wing of the Left is done. Okay by me, but some others might care.
Or let me put it another way–Barack Obama doesn’t strike me as the kind of guy whose willing to hammer a lot of houses together in order to rehabilitate his reputation (too much work), and it’s not like Jimmy was ever that big of an influence on American politics anyway post-1980. So might be best not to get in that situation to start with.
Or stop digging if in one.
Another wonderful consequence of them loosing after running such a scorched earth campaign is that Hillary’s presidential ambitions would likely be done. After the Libya debacle she may already be cooked, but I’m not sure of that if Obama wins. If he looses it’ll be seen as a rejection of the whole administration, and that includes Hillary who was such an instrumental part of it. She needs to be kept as far from the levers of power as possible, she’s at least as bad as Obama if not worse. A good drubbing might force the Democratic party to shift a little more to the center like what Clinton did after 1994, that’s one of the best things we can hope for IMO, the Obama wing is truly dangerous.
Several months ago in a fit of depression I thought all was lost. The polls were like a daily battering ram on my psyche, sometimes feeling as though the Acme Safe or Anvil were landing on Wile E. Coyote. Those were not good days. Over time I began to subscribe to the idea that the polls were not accurate. Especially with the heavily weighted Democratic ones. And then, we had the debate in Denver and I asked my self, Are you crazy? No way Obama can beat what are common everyday values that we all practice daily.
So, I began to feel more comfortable. Perhaps too comfortable. I’m now subscribing to the idea that a landslide or very near to one is inevitable. Does 55-56% to 45% reach the threshold of a landslide. I hope so because it’s beginning to look a lot like that. We’ll see.
Being in a “battleground” state, I will continue to lie to pollsters in an effort to artificially boost Obama’s numbers. I figure its the moral equivalent of a POW lying to his captors. The more secure they feel, the greater liklihood they may take my state for granted. Chumps.
That’s great news. Still, now is hardly a time to become overconfident. In Venezuela, there were strong expectations that Capriles would defeat Chavez. He didn’t, and some of the same tactics seem likely to be tried in the United States.
The street says “landslide.” Our relatives in ME,NH and MN report almost unanimous Romney voters in their circles. A FB friend in SEATLE, WA….let that sink in…. went to the mall yesterday with a Romney shirt on, and got dozens of compliments and thumbs up. One libbie swore behind her back. Libs. It’s happening. We seem to be getting our country back.
In every election in recent memory, the GOP has seen a glimmer of hope in Pennsylvania, only to see that dashed on election day. If Romney really has a chance there and this latest poll is not an outlier, then this is a wave election and it will not even be close. No one will care whether or not Obama won Ohio, as it will be an electoral college landslide and some states not thought to be in play will turn red. That’s if …
Every so often my birthday falls on election day, this being one of those years. My wife asked me what I wanted: a landslide.
As a Navy Chief I can tell you there is NO possible way there will be a military coup to keep this knucklehead in office.