No, Trump Rallies Are Not 'Superspreader' Events

AP Photo/Evan Vucci

Every Trump rally where thousands of enthusiastic supporters come to see him ends up as just another way to get hysterical about the coronavirus pandemic.

Not only are many of the rally attendees maskless, but they don’t practice social distancing either. Obviously, this means that hundreds, maybe thousands of rallygoers will test positive for the coronavirus while infecting hundreds or thousands of others.


In fact, according to a Daily Caller investigation, health authorities in many areas where Trump has recently held rallies say there is no direct evidence that the rallies resulted in an increase in positive tests.

Speculation from some observers before and during the events raised alarms that they could worsen the ongoing pandemic. But a combination of publicly available statistics on the spread of Coronavirus and analysis from public health experts concludes that the president’s campaign rallies cannot be tied to spikes in Covid-19 infections in their surrounding areas, if cases in the area even increased, which not all did.

Does this mean that the media doesn’t know what they’re talking about when they write stories about the “maskless” rallies? Why yes. Yes, it does.

In fact, the “maskless” rally criticism presupposes that when you get a lot of people together, you have a “superspreader” event. If true, how do you explain this?

Thousands gathered indoors in Oklahoma’s second-largest city to welcome the president, and statewide new cases were 32% higher one week after the rally. However, cases in Tulsa County actually trended downward during the two weeks after the rally, and a spokesman with the Oklahoma State Department of Health told the Daily Caller that they don’t have “hard data” that connects the rally with any increase in cases.


In fact, health officials at almost all of the 23 Trump rally sites can’t connect any cases directly to rally attendance.

The Trump campaign held rallies in Old Forge, PA, Aug. 20 and Moon Township, PA, Sept. 22. Data from both Lackawanna and Allegheny County show increases in Covid-19 infections in the weeks following the rallies. However, Deputy Press Secretary Maggi Mumma of the Pennsylvania Department of Health told the Daily Caller that they had found no links between either rally and new Covid-19 cases.

Surely this is a mistake. A highly contagious coronavirus, lots of people standing close together, cheering, sneezing coughing, and lord knows what else — and there’s no new COVID-19 cases? Gotta be a misprint.

There was one venue where health authorities report some new infections.

Trump’s Sept. 18 rally in Bemidji, Minn., was the only event we investigated that ended up with multiple connected cases of Covid-19. Doug Schultz, Information Officer for the Minnesota Department of Health says they have identified nine individuals who attended the rally and later tested positive for Coronavirus. The rally was attended by thousands of supporters.


The DC’s analysis concludes “that there is no verifiable evidence to show that Trump rallies have meaningfully increased the spread of Covid-19.” We expect that to be headline news tomorrow, right?

Certainly, health officials are “concerned.” That’s their job. But until someone has ironclad proof that there is a real danger of contracting the coronavirus at these events, maybe they should stop reporting each and every Trump rally like a death watch.


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