RESULTS: The GOP’s Path to the Senate Majority Is Slim, but Possible

Check back throughout the evening for updates about these important Senate races. Up-to-the-minute results powered by DDHQ are below. For all races across the U.S., click here.

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Update 3:49 a.m.: Maxalt is closing the gap in Nevada with 12% of the vote still to be counted:

 

Update 1:09 a.m.: The balance of power in the U.S. Senate will come down to the results in Nevada, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Alaska is expected to go GOP.

Update 12:57 a.m.: Fox News projects that John Fetterman will win the race for U.S. Senate against Dr. Mehmet Oz.

Update 12:46 a.m.: Scenario: Assuming GOP wins Nevada and Wisconsin, but Dems win Arizona and Pennsylvania, the balance of power in the U.S. Senate could come down to Georgia—which looks to be headed for a runoff.

Update 12:21 a.m.: Republicans were hoping for an upset in Washington, but Sen. Patty Murray is projected to win reelection.

Update 11:48 p.m.: Georgia remains neck-and-neck, and both Warnock and Walker have remained under 50% with just under 90% reporting. If neither candidate breaks 50%, it goes to a runoff, and my gut says that’s where we are headed.

Update 11:00 p.m.: ABC News projects that Republican J.D. Vance has been elected to the U.S. Senate in Ohio. This was an important seat that was considered a toss-up.

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Update 10:32 p.m.: DDHQ projects that Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.) has won reelection.

Update 10:21 p.m.: DDHQ projects Sen. Michael Bennet wins reelection. He was widely expected to win, but Republicans were hoping that Joe O’Dea would pull it off in an upset. Polls tightened in recent weeks, but not enough.

Update 10:19 p.m.: In Pennsylvania, Fetterman currently leads by 174,000 votes, according to the PA Department of State. Early votes were getting counted before the Election Day votes, so it will be interesting to see how Oz might catch up. Currently, Fetterman has 530,000 mail-in/early votes, compared to Oz’s 117,000… however, Oz has a large lead in the Election Day voting, beating Fetterman 886,000 votes to 648,000.

Update 10:01 p.m.:  With 64% of the vote in, Herschel Walker has closed the gap with Sen. Raphael Warnock, and trails by only about 10,000, according to the Georgia Secretary of State’s office.

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Update 9:35 p.m.: Votes are still being tallied, and according to GOP Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel early and mail-in votes are skewing the numbers for the Democrats in various states, but Decision Desk HQ now has the current Senate balance of power at 39 Democrats and 39 Republicans.

Update 8:19 p.m.: It’s still very early… way too early to know what’s going on in any hot races, but so far, Rand Paul (R-Ky.), Rick Scott (R-S.C.), Todd Young (R-Ind.), and Katie Britt (R-Ala.) have all been projected to win their races. More significant news is that Sen. Marco Rubio is now projected to win reelection. While not particularly shocking based on the polls, Democrats had hopes that Val Deming would oust Rubio.

The current Senate balance is 38 Democrats and 35 Republicans, with plenty of races yet to be called.

6:38 pm: The midterm elections for the year 2022 have finally arrived, and with them will come the answer to the most pressing question of the year: who will win control of the United States Senate?

For most of the campaign, it was widely assumed that despite historical precedent pointing to the GOP having a good year in the elections, the Senate map favored Democrats in 2022, and even as the GOP led in the generic ballot, projections gave Democrats the edge for maintaining control of the U.S. Senate—in part because of the overturning of Roe. v. Wade, and also because of some Trump-endorsed candidates who won their primaries despite being weaker candidates.

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But things changed in the past couple of months, as GOP momentum saw several races tighten in the polls. Republican candidates in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, New Hampshire, and even Washington have become competitive toss-up races. And the opportunity this presents for the GOP cannot be understated.

Related: What Will the Senate Look Like After November?

Biden’s legislative agenda would hit a major roadblock with a Republican majority in the House, but if the GOP wins control of the U.S. Senate as well, Biden’s efforts to fill the judiciary with left-wing judges will come to a grinding halt. President Trump effectively transformed the judiciary by making judicial nominations a priority, but Joe Biden has, in the past two years, outpaced Trump with judicial nominations.

Last week, I boldly made some predictions for our VIP subscribers about several key races that will ultimately decide which party will control the U.S. Senate next year. Will my predictions be right? We’ll find out tonight. Stay tuned for live coverage of the battle for control of the U.S. Senate.

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