I recently wrote about how back in 2016 I spent the majority of the presidential campaign season convinced Donald Trump was headed for certain defeat. I hate to say it, but the media had basically convinced me that Hillary was assured victory. Trump haters learned the hard way that being told what they want to hear from the liberal media or from polls can backfire on them drastically. The media hasn’t learned anything since 2016 either, as they’re desperately trying to create a narrative that the Trump Train is heading for a stunning defeat in 2020.
On Wednesday, we got a poll showing Biden edging out Trump in Texas. On Thursday, we got a poll saying Trump has a gender gap problem that, according to The Hill, “may prove difficult to overcome.”
In the June 1-2 survey, 62 percent of female registered voters said they were unlikely to support Trump’s bid to obtain a second term. Fifty-three percent said they were very unlikely to back Trump while 9 percent said they were somewhat unlikely. Thirty-eight percent of women who participated said they were likely to back Trump.
Back in 2016, we were also treated to a flurry of polls and articles telling us about Trump’s gender gap problem. Less than a month before the election, Nate Silver, the former golden boy of polling, declared that “if Trump loses the election, it will be because women voted against him.” According to another analysis of polls by FiveThirtyEight, Hillary Clinton had a 20-point advantage among women.
And that’s hardly the bleakest picture that was painted for Trump. Here’s a story from The Hill from March 2016 about Trump’s gender gap problem:
A new CNN poll released Thursday […] found that 73 percent of registered female voters in the United States had an unfavorable view of Trump. That’s in line with a Reuters poll from last week that found more than half of American women hold a “very unfavorable” view of the billionaire.
Throughout 2016, Trump’s supposed gender gap problem was seen as one of many obstacles that doomed his presidential bid. Obviously, it didn’t. According to 2016 exit polls, 41 percent of women voters picked Trump, yet he still won the presidency.
Matt Margolis is the author of The Scandalous Presidency of Barack Obama and the bestselling The Worst President in History: The Legacy of Barack Obama. His new book, Trumping Obama: How President Trump Saved Us From Barack Obama’s Legacy, will be published in July 2019. You can follow Matt on Twitter @MattMargolis