Michael Totten

Hezbollah's Downfall?

Beirut’s David Kenner thinks Hezbollah’s latest move “will ulimately lead to its downfall”:http://www.tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=0167bb3d-56de-4354-89f7-bc885f0e7f00.
I think he’s right, which is what I was getting at when I wrote in COMMENTARY that “Hezbollah’s power is now at its apogee”:http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/totten/7881. Hassan Nasrallah isn’t likely to ever be stronger than he is right now. It’s all downhill from here. It would be foolish to expect him to fall in the short or medium term, but Kenner’s piece is especially worth reading if you’re worried that Lebanon will become the next Gaza.
UPDATE: See also “Michael Young’s latest column”:http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?edition_id=1&categ_id=5&article_id=92514 in Beirut’s Daily Star, which contains this humorous tidbit: “Thanks to the Israelis, who may soon hand a grand prisoner exchange to Hizbullah, Nasrallah may earn a brief reprieve for his “resistance.” It’s funny how Hizbullah and Syria, always the loudest in accusing others of being Israeli agents, are the ones who, when under pressure, look toward negotiations with Israel for an exit.”