Ever since President Trump returned to the White House, Democrats have been scrambling to rewrite the story of inflation. The same crowd that insisted “Bidenomics is working” and tried to convince Americans that prices were falling on Biden’s watch now wants everyone to forget Biden’s presidency altogether and pin today’s high prices on Trump.
The fact is that inflation is coming down under Trump, and that’s no accident. Pro-growth policies matter. You can see it clearly at the state level, where red states are doing a far better job keeping inflation under control than blue states.
A new White House analysis of inflation data underscores the divide. States President Trump carried in 2024 have an average year-over-year inflation rate of 2.5%, while states Kamala Harris won are running at 3.0%.
Housing inflation in conservative states stands at 3.4%, compared with 3.6% in liberal states. Food and beverage costs follow the same pattern: 2.5% in red states versus 2.7% in blue states.
The gap is even bigger in energy.
Conservative states are at 3.5%, while liberal states are stuck at a painful 5.2%. Anyone who has filled up a tank in California already understands why. When it comes to transportation, red states are seeing just 0.7% inflation, while blue states are dealing with 2.5%.
Look at those numbers and tell me politics doesn’t matter. It almost starts to look intentional, as if blue states are content to create higher prices and hope Trump takes the blame.
Stranger things have happened.
Even at the metro level, the pattern holds. Cities in more conservative regions such as Dallas, Houston, Phoenix, Atlanta, Detroit, and St. Louis are posting all-items inflation of about 1.9%. Liberal metro areas are running much hotter at an average of 3.0%. Housing costs widen the gap even further, with inflation in blue strongholds nearly double that of their red-state counterparts, 3.9% versus 2.3%.
How about energy? I’m glad you asked. Left-leaning cities are still paying for the legacy of Bidenomics. San Diego saw energy inflation surge to 8.7%, with Riverside close behind at 7.9%. Conservative metros kept energy increases far more restrained, and overall inflation barely moved past 2%.
How does this happen? I have a theory.
States that embrace free-market policies, keep taxes low, and avoid burying businesses in regulation post better inflation numbers across the board. Liberal states are trapped in a cycle of high taxes, runaway spending, and green mandates, which is why they are still dealing with the consequences of the policies they cheered during the Biden years.
Are Democrats really going to pretend this is a coincidence or some geographic fluke? This comes down to who is in charge. States with Republican governors posted an average inflation rate of 2.3%, compared with 3.0% in Democratic-led states. Republican-controlled legislatures came in at 2.4%, again well below the 3.0% average in Democrat-run legislatures. States with unified Republican control recorded inflation of 2.3%, beating liberal-run states by 0.7%.
🚨 IT'S OFFICIAL: Jaw-dropping new data CONFIRMS Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent's claim that red states have LOWER inflation than liberal states
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) December 24, 2025
"The gap is even wider for bills...energy prices? 5.2% in blue, 3.5% in red states!"
"Transportation: 2.5% in blue states, versus just… pic.twitter.com/fgoHTNJ9R2
So before Democrats try to pin inflation on Trump, they might want to look a little closer to home. Biden’s economic legacy is still crushing blue-state economies, while red America has already turned the page.
