One of the clearest red flags for bogus polling during the 2024 election was any survey claiming that Kamala Harris could beat Donald Trump while simultaneously showing Trump making historic gains among young, black, and Hispanic voters. Those three groups are the backbone of the Democratic coalition. Losing significant ground with them, even if you still carry a majority, is politically devastating. You simply can’t hemorrhage support from your base and expect to win, no matter how much the pollsters try to spin it.
Since Trump's first presidential run, the signs have been clear. Despite the left's relentless campaign to brand him as a racist, anti-immigrant authoritarian, Hispanic voters have been steadily gravitating toward the GOP. In 2024, Trump captured 46% of the Hispanic vote — a stunning 14-point jump from 2020 and the highest percentage any Republican president has ever achieved.
But here's the kicker: that was just the beginning.
Fast-forward to May 2025, five months into Trump's second term, and the trends have Democrats absolutely panicking. An InsiderAdvantage poll conducted between May 17-19 found that Trump's approval rating among Hispanic voters has skyrocketed to nearly 60% — a mind-blowing 22-point increase from their April survey. While Democrats and their media allies have been working overtime to paint Trump's immigration enforcement as some sort of ethnic cleansing campaign, Hispanic voters are more supportive of his presidency.
Of course, you know as well as I do that you can’t trust just one poll. So let’s look at another — in fact, let’s look at an unabashedly left poll.
A Civiqs/Daily Kos poll from the same period showed Trump's Hispanic approval jumping 15 points to 57%. Even more damaging to the Democratic narrative? That same poll found that 53% of Hispanic voters support Trump's handling of illegal immigration enforcement and deportations.
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Hispanic men have been the driving force behind this seismic shift, and it's not hard to understand why. While Democrats have been busy lecturing Hispanic communities about what they should think and feel, these voters have been looking at the actual results. They see secure borders, economic opportunities, and law and order, not the apocalyptic scenarios Democrats have been peddling.
Obviously, this creates an existential crisis for a party that has built its entire electoral strategy around identity politics and demographic assumptions. Democrats assumed that they could take Hispanic voters for granted while simultaneously flooding the country with illegal immigrants who undercut wages and strain resources in Hispanic communities. That strategy is backfiring spectacularly.
The desperation is palpable. Democrats have doubled down on their "authoritarian" messaging, staged theatrical protests, flown down to El Salvador for margaritas with an MS-13 gang member, and ramped up their usual fearmongering tactics. But contrary to their expectations, Hispanic voters aren't buying what they're selling. Instead, they're responding positively to policies that prioritize American citizens and legal immigrants over those who break our laws.
These numbers aren’t just bad for Democrats; they’re politically devastating. When a party starts bleeding support from a demographic it’s relied on for generations — and at the same time its opponent is gaining ground with those very voters despite supposedly “alienating” policies — it’s not a fluke. It’s a sign of a seismic shift underway, one that could mark a lasting realignment in American politics.
