Obama Reframes His Frugal Spending Claim

Last Wednesday in Denver, President Barack Obama, barely 36 hours after Rex Nutting’s rubbish about his administration’s spending performance hit the tubes, mangled what the MarketWatch global commentary editor had written: “My opponent won’t admit it, but it’s been starting to appear in places — real liberal outlets like the Wall Street Journal — (laughter) — since I’ve been president, federal spending has risen at the lowest pace in nearly 60 years.”

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“Since I’ve been president”? I should note that MarketWatch, like the Wall Street Journal, is part of the Dow Jones & Company consumer media group component of Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation empire. They are hardly one and the same, as Obama’s laugh line assumed. It should surprise no one, given the obvious lack of analytical rigor, to learn that MarketWatch’s lineage and Nutting’s tenure go back to when it was operated in partnership with CBS News. If Mitt Romney had made a similar mistake, we’d still be hearing about it.

The next day in Iowa, Obama rephrased his misstatement: “But what my opponent didn’t tell you was that federal spending since I took office has risen at the slowest pace of any president in almost 60 years.”

“Since I took office?”

That evening in Redwood City, California, Obama completed what he and his advisers must have seen as the oratorical equivalent of a hat trick, telling his audience: “[S]ince I’ve been president, federal spending has actually risen at the lowest pace in nearly 60 years. It usually takes a Democrat to fix these problems after they have run up the tab.”

“Since I’ve been president”? As Ronald Reagan would surely have said if he were there: “There you go again.”

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Liberal and leftist pundits and apparatchiks have, while capitalizing on Nutting’s work, “somehow” missed Obama’s total recast. On Monday, in perhaps the most egregious example appearing three full days and change after Obama’s third “since I’ve been in charge” equivalent, Eugene Robinson at the Washington Post ignored them all while claiming that Romney is the one who has a problem with the truth. That funny, because Post fact-checker Glenn Kessler gave Nutting’s narrative and White House spokesmouth Jay Carney’s use of it on the morning of May 23 — hours before Obama began maiming it beyond recognition — three Pinocchios.

Maybe it was due to haste to get away for the Memorial Day weekend, but the editorialists at two usual reliables, Investor’s Business Daily and the Journal, failed to grasp the significance of Obama’s utterances. Both beat up on Nutting over his laughable assignment of so much of Obama’s fiscal 2009 excess to George W. Bush, hit hard at how spending as a percentage of the nation’s economic output has reached a post-World War II high, and noted how Obama has wanted and still wants the government to spend far more than it currently is.

But both publications missed the obvious: By going to his “since I’ve been in charge” schtick, Barack Obama has taken ridiculousaurus Rex’s nuttiness off the table. While the MarketWatch writer twisted himself like a world-class female gymnast in pushing as much of the blame for spending as he possibly could onto Bush 43 — even acting as if the Texan’s ghost was haunting the White House over eight months after he physically left the place — Obama on the three separate occasions identified above took responsibility for everything that has happened since he was inaugurated on January 20, 2009.

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That makes things so much easier. Now we can present Obama’s spending record in terms anyone can understand, with only one set of self-inflicted, self-incriminating adjustments required.

Referencing the government’s Monthly Treasury Statements and Office of Management and Budget documents while ignoring months which haven’t happened yet (as we should, and which both Nutting and Obama haven’t), we see that average monthly spending during the Obama administration’s first 39 full months in office has been 27% higher than it was during George W. Bush’s second term:

AverageSpendingBush43vsObama9412


Now let’s undo the adjustments the administration booked which have conveniently served to conceal true spending growth under Obama. As I explained in my column on Saturday:

In fiscal 2009, Obama’s Treasury Department effectively added at least $157 billion to that year’s “outlays.” That amount represents estimated losses on TARP investments which ultimately never materialized. … in March 2010 and May 2011, Treasury reduced reported outlays by $115 billion and $42 billion, respectively, both of which were “attributable to a reduction in the estimated cost of the TARP.”

… these accounting entries don’t represent “spending” as any normal person would define it. Therefore, to get a handle on true spending from 2009 through 2012, the impact of these non-cash entries must be reversed.

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Effecting those reversals in the fiscal years involved leads to the following actual spending results for the past three years and seven months:

AverageMonthlySpendingObamaTo0412

With the fog cleared, we see that average spending under Obama took a quantum leap during his first eight months (up by 9.4% over Bush’s $256 billion monthly average during his final 16 months) and kept going in fiscal 2010 (up by another 6.4%) before reaching and essentially remaining at today’s completely unsustainable level of $300 billion per month. If Democrats and Obama, whose last two “president’s b-b-b-budgets” (it’s hard for Democrats to say that word, as they are responsible for the government not having a budget for over three years) have fantasized about spending $3.8 trillion per year, had the kind of free pass they had in 2009 and 2010, the government would be spending at least an additional 5.6% more every month.

Even Democrats should be able to see through Obama’s “since I’ve been in charge” fable. But the vast majority probably won’t publicly do so. Perhaps in the privacy of the voting booth, enough of them will vote with reality to create the kind of electoral repudiation the nation’s incumbent president so completely deserves.

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