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Bob Shrum — The Second Most Loathsome Troll on the Internet™ — thinks President Obama is going to win this thing. He even has reasons. Honest. They go something like this:

• Romney lost the debates.

• The 47%.

• Obama won the TV commercial war last summer.

• Mitt is a flip-flopper.

• Mitt’s surge is over.

• Something about Karl Rove. (???)

• Obama has strategists.

• Obama has the edge in battleground states.

And, uh, besides, Shrum doesn’t know anybody who’s voting for Romney.

Perhaps Shrum filed this column back in August and The Daily Beast forgot to publish it until today.