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by
Bryan Preston

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March 11, 2014 - 8:18 am

If Bill Clinton’s was the Animal House presidency, then Ukraine is realizing that it made the mistake of trusting Clinton, and by extension America.

Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons in 1994 on the promise that the U.S., UK and Russia would respect its territorial integrity. Ukraine didn’t sign on to the Budapest Memorandum because it feared a British invasion. Based on its history with its neighbor, it feared a Russian invasion. It wanted backup for giving up the one serious deterrent that it had for preventing such an invasion.

Now the Russians have taken Crimea, and Ukraine still doesn’t have its nukes.

KIEV, Ukraine — Ukraine may have to arm itself with nuclear weapons if the United States and other world powers refuse to enforce a security pact that obligates them to reverse the Moscow-backed takeover of Crimea, a member of the Ukraine parliament told USA TODAY.

The United States, Great Britain and Russia agreed in a pact “to assure Ukraine’s territorial integrity” in return for Ukraine giving up a nuclear arsenal it inherited from the Soviet Union after declaring independence in 1991, said Pavlo Rizanenko, a member of the Ukrainian parliament.

“We gave up nuclear weapons because of this agreement,” said Rizanenko, a member of the Udar Party headed by Vitali Klitschko, a candidate for president. “Now there’s a strong sentiment in Ukraine that we made a big mistake.”

His statements come as Russia raised the possibility it may send its troops beyond the Crimean peninsula on the Black Sea into the eastern half of Ukraine.

The price of inaction now may well be much larger action later.

The communist dictatorship that was the Soviet Union had based nuclear missiles in republics it held captive along its border with Europe, and Ukraine had thousands. World powers urged Ukraine to give up the arsenal but its leaders balked, expressing fear they needed the weapons to deter Russia from trying to reverse Ukraine’s independence.

To reassure the Ukrainians, the United States and leaders of the United Kingdom and Russia signed in 1994 the “Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances” in which the signatories promised that none of them would threaten or use force to alter the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine.

Russia didn’t “threaten” to use force against Ukraine. It just invaded without making any threats at all. With Putin, there aren’t any red lines to state and then erase.

Bryan Preston has been a leading conservative blogger and opinionator since founding his first blog in 2001. Bryan is a military veteran, worked for NASA, was a founding blogger and producer at Hot Air, was producer of the Laura Ingraham Show and, most recently before joining PJM, was Communications Director of the Republican Party of Texas.

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Top Rated Comments   
As a lay Ukrainian, not politician—I'll tell you how Ukrainians see the situation:
1. US, UK and Russia has taken on themselves obligations to guarantee territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine in return for us giving up the nuclear weapon (3rd largest nuclear arsenal in the world then).
2. We have given up the nuclear weapon.
3. We therefore expect US, UK and Russia to stick to the terms of the treaty.
4. Now, Russia, instead of guaranteeing territorial integrity and sovereignty, encroaches on them and occupies Crimea.
5. Question: What US and UK are doing?
6. Russia's thugs are rioting in Donets'k, Dnipropetrovs'k, Luhans'k, Odesa, Zaporizhzhya etc, Russian troops are moving further to Kherson region… tension is rising. This set us thinking of #5 above again, with an exclamatory mark added perhaps.
7. Meanwhile, Russian media start unprecedented Ukrainophobic campaign, comparable to the Arabic/Muslim anti-Israel ones. We cannot but keep thinking of #5 above, now with couple or more exclamatory marks.
8. To recap: we know that the treaties with Russia aren't worth the paper they're written/printed on. We don't value the treaties with US and UK anywhere that low. And still, we cannot help thinking that Russia would never dare to invade Ukraine if we had nukes.

Thank you Bryan for understanding what we feel, and I wish there were more people like you in US. And in UK, for that matter.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
All Comments   (25)
All Comments   (25)
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By chance, I happened to volunteer in cataloguing books in the local school.

Of 500+ books, I can count on the fingers of one hand the number of books where children (or adults) actually had any adventures or showed any courage or character, and THOSE are typically from the 1950s or 60s. A typical books is "Mama for Mayor", "Birthday Monsters", or "The Fat Cat on the Mat".

My favorite -- as God as my witness I'm not making thus up?

Well, remember all those books about kids exploring outer space, or the north pole, or the pirate's Island, etc.? Escaping from robbers and so on They are all gone. Instead, an actual title: "Amy Elizabeth Explores Bloomingdale's".

Remember Woody Allen's character quip about how his wife worries that, if fascists occupied Manhattan, they might take away her Bloomy's card? THAT'S how they come to be that way.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
my co-worker's aunt makes $67 an hour on the laptop . She has been out of a job for 6 months but last month her income was $16543 just working on the laptop for a few hours. More Info.....
http://www.zeejob.com
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
As, I have posted previously, the Ukrainians should have recalled Prince Sirik Matak's letter to the US ambassador as Cambodia fell to the Khmer Rouge:

""I thank you very sincerely for your letter and for your offer to transport me towards freedom. I cannot, alas, leave in such a cowardly fashion. As for you and in particular for your great country, I never believed for a moment that you would have this sentiment of abandoning a people which has chosen liberty. You have refused us your protection and we can do nothing about it. You leave us and it is my wish that you and your country will find happiness under the sky. But mark it well that, if I shall die here on the spot and in my country that I love, it is too bad because we are all born and must die one day. I have only committed the mistake of believing in you, the Americans. "

The Khmer Rouge executed him two weeks later.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
Since the war in Vietnam, every single ally that relied on the US for its protection had been destroyed since the USA simply abandoned them when it became unpopular to protect them.

South Vietnam, the Iraqis, the Kurds, the Iranian opposition, the Afghanis (the US is leaving and the Taliban will execute anybody who every was stupid enough to support the USA there), the gassed Syrians (red line? Ha ha), The Ukraine, and of course Israel will be pressured and threatened to give up its security "for peace", too.

America will do nothing. America is too feckless, tired, and heeding of its own immediate comfort to the exclusion of anything else to help anybody in need. You can thank two generations of left-wing "give peace a chance" / "USA is evil aggressor" / "my personal comfort is the most important thing in the world" leftist indoctrinization for that.

I, as an Israeli, have absolutely no respect for, or hope from, any American promises of our security. We might, should we achieve it, have some hope for security guarantees that come from Russia or China, unlikely as they are to be available. But If we trust you, we will die. Trusting America is a sucker's bet.

What happened to you? What happened to mankind' best hope which saved the world from tyranny twice in 30 years? What have you become?
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
I hope that your countrymen and your government are coming to the same realization, quickly. Your defense, and survival, are in your own hands. While the American government is not the country; enemies of both the United States and Israel hold our government. A significant portion of the American people would stand with Israel, but we face the same enemy as Israel.

But since the government is held by our mutual enemy, you cannot depend on us. Do what you must do to ensure that you survive. Do not depend on anything our government says. And do not trust what it does.

Subotai Bahadur
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
Maybe the US shouldnt unilaterall disarm it's nuclear deterrent. Just a thought.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
Ukraine has indicated that it regrets giving up the nuclear weapons left over from the FSU in return for international promises about guaranteeing its territorial integrity. And that it needs to get nuclear weapons again, ASAP.

Ukraine has 15 nuclear power plants [the Chernobyl complex is shut down and not counted], 6 of which [Zaporizhzhia complex] are in southern Ukraine and subject to immediate Russian seizure. They are of Russian design, and likely can be adapted to produce fissionable material for enrichment and fabrication into a quick and dirty bomb. I suspect that the enrichment will be the problem for Ukraine since they do not have a reprocessing plant. If you have the weapons grade material, fabrication is possible if you are willing to accept the casualties in the name of national survival.

Also, nuclear weapons includes the concept of a dirty bomb that just scatters radioactive materials, which is technologically easier and quicker to fabricate. And if it appears that the Russians are about to over-run the entire country; in addition to destroying the entire natural gas pipeline network to Europe as part of a scorched earth policy, a Ukraine that believes itself to be abandoned by the West and about to be occupied could create 9-15 simultaneous equivalents of the Chernobyl disaster; rendering the Ukraine, and large sections of Russia and Europe, uninhabitable.

Not sure what the prevailing winds are, but being downwind would be a glow in the dark nightmare.

Now I am not a nice person. But if I was the leadership of Ukraine, being the craziest one in the room may be the only gambit left to pull. Facing invasion and/or national dismemberment, the easiest way [and no, it is not that easy to actually get everyone to cooperate] would be to have troops at each reactor, and wire each reactor for fiery demolition that would expose the cores and set them on fire to spew radioactive particles.

Start with the 6 at the Zaporizhzhia complex if they are not under Russian control as top priority, but wire them all. Aside from Zaporizhzhia being a closer threat to Russian troops and territory, the Crimea is dependent on outside utilities. While I don't know the details of the infrastructure, I understand that the Crimea does not generate its own electricity and water has to be pumped in from outside, and even then the water is both translucent and chewy. I suspect that taking out those reactors would kill both power and water to the Crimea, leaving the Russians there in some difficulty, and pondering Schoedigger's Cat if the wind is right. If they are demolished and set afire, along with the others in Ukraine, it would constitute a tremendous countervalue damage to Russia, Belorus [a Russian puppet] and to all in the area. There would be a similar, lesser effect even if it was only the 9 reactors outside Zaporizhzhia.

The correlation of forces for the attack change suddenly.

It is not a permanent solution, but it may cause EVERYBODY to have a vital interest in keeping the Russians out of Ukraine other than the Crimea.

It may give enough time for the Baltics, Poland, and Ukraine to develop a more sophisticated countervalue deterrent, of a more focused nature.

Subotai Bahadur
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
What did the Ukraine do with all that money they saved by NOT having to maintain a nuclear arsenal and NOT paying the real costs of their security? Built lavish houses for their politicians, by all accounts. You need to roll some heads and take all those lavish houses away and turn them into middle class apartments or maybe even orphanages.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
And the Ukrainian military was so underfunded that it has practically collapsed, and is now a laughingstock. Don't think that Putin didn't take that into account.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
We'll started doing exactly that. This is why Yanukovych is so mad at us.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
As a lay Ukrainian, not politician—I'll tell you how Ukrainians see the situation:
1. US, UK and Russia has taken on themselves obligations to guarantee territorial integrity and sovereignty of Ukraine in return for us giving up the nuclear weapon (3rd largest nuclear arsenal in the world then).
2. We have given up the nuclear weapon.
3. We therefore expect US, UK and Russia to stick to the terms of the treaty.
4. Now, Russia, instead of guaranteeing territorial integrity and sovereignty, encroaches on them and occupies Crimea.
5. Question: What US and UK are doing?
6. Russia's thugs are rioting in Donets'k, Dnipropetrovs'k, Luhans'k, Odesa, Zaporizhzhya etc, Russian troops are moving further to Kherson region… tension is rising. This set us thinking of #5 above again, with an exclamatory mark added perhaps.
7. Meanwhile, Russian media start unprecedented Ukrainophobic campaign, comparable to the Arabic/Muslim anti-Israel ones. We cannot but keep thinking of #5 above, now with couple or more exclamatory marks.
8. To recap: we know that the treaties with Russia aren't worth the paper they're written/printed on. We don't value the treaties with US and UK anywhere that low. And still, we cannot help thinking that Russia would never dare to invade Ukraine if we had nukes.

Thank you Bryan for understanding what we feel, and I wish there were more people like you in US. And in UK, for that matter.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
Western democracies are big with words but slow to act. That is just the way it is. In the past ( World War 2 ) when they acted the results were positive but many people often suffer ( Czechoslovakia,, Poland ) until they finally respond with action. Putin understands fully the meaning of Stalin's famous quote " how many divisions does the Pope have?" when confronted with an adversary who uses only words as a response to aggressive behavior.
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
Give nukes? They had nukes, and the US made them give them up for a worthless piece of paper. Exactly why Israel should never give up any position of power for the empty promises of politicians, American "friends" or otherwise.

(this was intended as a reply to Mandy Manners - "let's give nuclear weapons to every Tom, Dick and Yuri")
24 weeks ago
24 weeks ago Link To Comment
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