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by
Bryan Preston

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December 5, 2013 - 1:45 pm

Earlier this week, yesterday I guess, the days sort of run together this deep into the week, a Harvard survey lit things up with evidence that young Americans are turning away from Barack Obama and don’t have much interest in Obamacare. Young voters were and remain key to Obama keeping his 51% coalition together. Just 29% of them intend to sign up for Obamacare, a small fraction of the young needed to make the law’s math get even close to working out.

Today there are two more polls showing Obama’s growing weaknesses with two more demographics he desperately needs.

Barack Obama is rapidly losing ground with white women.

Polling provided to National Journal by the Kaiser Family Foundation shows that white women have soured considerably on the law, especially in the month since its botched rollout. The skepticism runs especially deep among blue-collar women, sometimes known as “waitress moms,” whose deeply pessimistic attitudes toward the Affordable Care Act should riddle Democratic candidates with anxiety.

Certainly, the law’s unpopularity gives Republicans a tool to counter the Democratic claim of a GOP “war on women”—something Republicans failed miserably at in 2012. But more significantly, it demonstrates that Democrats will have to fight just to retain core elements of their constituency. With 2014’s most important campaigns already lying in hostile territory like Alaska, Arkansas, and South Dakota, it’s a battle many of these candidates can ill afford.

Specifically, 40% of white women have a “very unfavorable” view of the law, which is a jump of 10 points over a month ago. We get to half when we add “somewhat unfavorable. Democrats usually do well with white women. Now the gender gap is closing.

Democrats must have a large slice of the Hispanic vote if they are to remain a viable national party. They can’t compete without taking a big majority of that fast-growing group. But Gallup says that Obama is rapidly losing ground with them, too. His job approval number among Hispanics has fallen 23%, from 75% to 52%, over the last year. Granted, he’s still at a bare majority, but the trend is decidedly against him. It explains why he is swinging so desperately from the Obamacare disaster to trying to ram an immigration bill through Congress. It’s one of the few cards, along with agitating to increase the minimum wage, that he has that might appeal to all three of these constituencies that he is losing. He’s holding a pair of two’s and junk, but it’s the hand he dealt himself, so he’ll play it and try to convince Republicans that he’s holding a full house.

Yeah, far too many Republicans will fall for his bluff.

 

Bryan Preston has been a leading conservative blogger and opinionator since founding his first blog in 2001. Bryan is a military veteran, worked for NASA, was a founding blogger and producer at Hot Air, was producer of the Laura Ingraham Show and, most recently before joining PJM, was Communications Director of the Republican Party of Texas.

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All Comments   (13)
All Comments   (13)
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Revulsion against Obama is not enough. It must extend to his entire party. They gave him to us, they backed him all the way, and they are just as responsible for his failure as he is. Repubs were rightfully punished for the failures of bush in 2006-2008. If dems are not punished for Obama the same way in 2014-2016 nothing will change. As long as dems continue to win, they will continue to believe that the policies that led to Obama must be right.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
Obama needs noone...he was re-elected last year.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
"Mr. President, do you have any questions about these poll numbers?"

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGQ-ISsDm8M
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
I denounce myself.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
They are turning away from Obama, not from the Democrats. If Hillary is nominated for 2016, they'll all come running back in droves (even though she will be the same, if not worse, than Obama).
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
Good point. Until peoples revulsion of Obama extends to the entire dem party, as peoples discontent with bush got extended to the repubs in 206-2008, it will mean nothing, because Obama is not running again anyway. It should extend to the entire dem party, because they backed Obama all the way, passed his legislation, and ensured his reelection, but whether it will, I don't know yet.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
unfortunately you're probably right :(
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
First of all, the Republicans don't know how to fight the battles. THe war on women? We know what the war on women really is, they and their husbands don't have a job, their health care just doubled and covered less, they're being used as pawns by the Democrats and sold their vote for free birth control pills.

A sound economy will bring jobs. Jobs will bring wages. Wages will bring freedom. THe Republicans offer freedom, the Democrats offer servitude. Now go out and fight!!!!!
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
"Turning away from Obama" is far from showing up to vote for Republicans who have been demonized for generations.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
I have an idea, lets stop lumping people into groups like "waitress moms". It serves to divide us not unite us, plays right into the dividers hands.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
Not sure about the youth demographic. They could just be saying "Well, I don't need Obamacare personally, but I still support it because it helps poor people."

I think a lot of the quoted demographics are still for Obama, or at least on the fence. And a lot of them would rather support the lame duck party than any Republican candidate. They'll flock to Hillary if she runs in '16.
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
Elections in the hands of people who are willing to engage in open felonies and treason, can't be forecasted as if the fight is governed by the Marques of Queensbury's rules.

Slander, pander and gerrymander will be the rule of the day.

ACORN may have changed in name, but not in tactics.

The Propaganda Machine will be operational on three full time shifts.

TassClass voters who get their "news" from the co-conspirators are an easily misled bunch.

And...the Republicans are to messaging what Detroit is to good government.

In fact, is there anything that the Republicans are doing ...other than letting small c communism implode that is significantly moving the needle TOWARD them? Because a needle that is only moving away from Obama, while a good sign...is a needle that can be brought back, bought back and fall for fraud back
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
ditto
19 weeks ago
19 weeks ago Link To Comment
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