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by
Bryan Preston

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November 26, 2013 - 7:23 pm

80 million. That’s a big number. I think it may be too low. I’ll explain later.

Almost 80 million people with employer health plans could find their coverage canceled because they are not compliant with ObamaCare, several experts predicted.

Their losses would be in addition to the millions who found their individual coverage cancelled for the same reason.

Stan Veuger of the American Enterprise Institute said that in addition to the individual cancellations, “at least half the people on employer plans would by 2014 start losing plans as well.” There are approximately 157 million employer health care policy holders.

Avik Roy of the Manhattan Institute added, “the administration estimated that approximately 78 million Americans with employer sponsored insurance would lose their existing coverage due to the Affordable Care Act.”

Last week, an analysis by the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank, showed the administration anticipates half to two-thirds of small businesses would have policies canceled or be compelled to send workers onto the ObamaCare exchanges. They predicted up to 100 million small and large business policies could be canceled next year.

The higher number makes more sense to me, because of the way Obamacare grandfathers plans. Essentially, it doesn’t. You’re grandfathered unless your plan has changed, even in minute ways, since March 2010. That’s more than four years from the time the law passed until the mandates start kicking in. Whose plan stays exactly the same for four years? Families grow and change or split up, we change jobs an average of every three to four years, we move, our tax situations change, we gain or lose income. Many small businesses change plans every couple of years just to get a better deal, either for the business or employees or both. I’m not sure all of this is accounted for in the lower estimates.

Whatever the number is, it’s higher than the zero that the Democrats promised and President Barack Obama knew that this chaos was coming all along. He knew that he was plotting to hurt millions of people for his own political purposes. He chose to hide it and lie about it. That’s really unforgivable.

Bryan Preston has been a leading conservative blogger and opinionator since founding his first blog in 2001. Bryan is a military veteran, worked for NASA, was a founding blogger and producer at Hot Air, was producer of the Laura Ingraham Show and, most recently before joining PJM, was Communications Director of the Republican Party of Texas.

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All Comments   (3)
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ASO plans are "administrative services only" plans. That means the really large employers (1000 employees or more) that have ASO plans don't buy insurance, they just use insurance companies to administer their claims and to take advantage of the discounts that insurance companies have negotiated for doctor and hospital networks.

This means that the plans that will not qualify for Obamacare "essential benefits" and therefore likely to be cancelled, throwing employees onto the healthcare insurance exchanges (and the very expensive plans with extremely high deductibles) are SMALLER employers. Therefore the law will disrupt small businesses and the largest employers will have the option whether to dump coverage or not. Another econmy killer by our Egalitariian in Chief...equal suffering is better than growing prosperity for all.
35 weeks ago
35 weeks ago Link To Comment
You must mean 80 million before they ram single payer down the country's throat. 80M+ is just an interim step.

And what is the tipping point beyond which there is no going back? Do they think we are already there? Or is the destruction of the small business market next year the fatal blow? Or are they waiting until after the 2014 election?

Seems to me that they must either believe the tipping point is prior to the election, or else feel secure that no election results in 2014 can stop them.
35 weeks ago
35 weeks ago Link To Comment
As James Taranto keeps pointing out, correctly, the selling of Obamacare was the greatest consumer fraud in human history.

Don't let this ever be forgotten.
35 weeks ago
35 weeks ago Link To Comment
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