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The PJ Tatler

by
Bryan Preston

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October 10, 2013 - 7:22 pm

A sharp reader caught a statistical problem with that much-cited NBC/WSJ poll that shows Republicans are getting whooped in the shutdown:

 

It’s true. Here is the complete poll with the sample, the questions, etc. On the very last page we get the breakdown of where the 800 respondents work.

govt-workers-poll

The wording of the question is broad enough to sweep in spouses of government workers and other situations in which the respondent themselves may not work for the government in some way, but someone closely related to them does. Oversampling government workers may not always lead to a skewed result — government workers include the bureaucrats we all have in mind here, but also the wife of the local sheriff who’s as conservative as can be. Nevertheless, we do have government workers heavily sampled, by more than twice the actual percentage of Americans who work for the government. Then let’s factor in the poll’s partisan sample, which was 43-32 Democrat, the percent that admits voting for Obama, which was 44 versus just 35 for Romney, and this looks like a left-heavy sample. I’m not screaming UNSKEWED POLLS!!!1!!!1! here, but, it’s questionable. Then, factor in NBC’s role. That network is not to be trusted.

Bryan Preston has been a leading conservative blogger and opinionator since founding his first blog in 2001. Bryan is a military veteran, worked for NASA, was a founding blogger and producer at Hot Air, was producer of the Laura Ingraham Show and, most recently before joining PJM, was Communications Director of the Republican Party of Texas.

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Top Rated Comments   
Everybody knows these polls are ALWAYS skewed to over sample democrats because the polling agencies are OWNED and RAN by democrats and assorted other anti-American types. The vast majority of "news" is reported by people who live, eat, sleep, crap, breathe in the bubble of the Beltway; they are completely out of touch with working, frustrated, oppressed, pissed off America in between the two coasts...and they couldn't care less what the latter think. THEY know what's best for all of us, so just shut up, go along like good little comrades, and vote for democrats.

Remember BENGHAZI!
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
The news pages of the WSJ are left center and its the news editors who commission the polls.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
First lesson in media stats class: If you know what to ask and who to ask, you can make a number that says pretty much whatever you need it to.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
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All Comments   (24)
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Was it Mark Twain, or someone similar, who said, "there are three kinds of lies -- lies, damned lies and statistics."
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
liberal bias, being told and called fact,

Another fairy tale brought to people by the lame stream B.O. propaganda machine
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
For those that get too caught up in poll numbers, remember, many polls had Mitt Romney winning the 2012 election. It seems strange that a bi-partisan bill was introduced in the senate to quell the shut down but good ol' harry reid more or less said it was DOA. So much for lib in charge of the Senate wanting the pain for ALL Americans to end.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
The dollar has just fallen through the floor overnight on International Currency exchanges. Thank you Obama.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
America's whole Political system is corrupt to the core it is not democracy it is incestuous, back scratching, PLUTOCRACY and it is only enabled to exist by a Left Wing Academia brainwashed, celebrity worshiping, STUPID, Low Info voting populace and a thoroughly corrupt Left Wing biased Lame Stream EneMedia.

'A Plague on both your houses' as Shakespeare said.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
Most Polls especially those conducted by a Left Wing moonbat biased media are not there to enlighten. They are simply PART of the Lefts PROPAGANDA.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
no poll is believable without the numbers and the demographics .
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
If you believe in a poll taken by WSJ/NBC on the subject of government or finance,. I do have a waterfall to sell you in the middle of The Sahara.
We all know NBC is Obama's mouthpiece. And WSJ is more big government corporatist than free market conservative.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
It's the revenge of the Pareto distribution: while twenty percent of the population pay eighty percent of the taxes and produce the goods, there is also that twenty percent of the population that do eighty percent of the whining and produce nothing.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
Thank God that someone waded through the minutiae of this POS.
46 weeks ago
46 weeks ago Link To Comment
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