Americans are voting already in several states and the Democrats are counting on a big boost from absentee ballots which would give them a similar advantage they had in 2008′s contest.
But if the data from Ohio is any indication, such might not be the case this year:
Some early numbers are in on absentee ballot requests, so how is that working our for the Democrats so far? Not so good.
In 2008, total early votes cast in Ohio totaled 1,023,330. 34% of those were Democrats, 20% were Republicans, and the rest were independents or other parties. Democrats had a 14-point advantage.
So far this year, there have been 528,197 applications sent in for absentee ballots. The party breakdown at this point is 29% Democrats and 23% Repulicans. The difference is down to 6 points. For the Ohio Democratic Party who was counting on matching their early voting performance from 4 years ago, that’s very bad news.
Let’s look at the three largest counties.
In Cuyahoga, the dropoff isn’t so bad for them. Their 2008 advantage of 37 points is down to 30. But the news is really bad in Franklin County. Their 5-point advantage from 2008 has actually reversed. So far, Republicans ballot apps outnumber Dems by 5. And in Hamilton County, the Republican advantage of 7 points from 2008 has increased to 14 points.
The 2008 numbers also include in-person early voting, which has not yet begun yet for 2012. Will this trend continue as October rolls on? Only time will tell. But these initial numbers must be discouraging for Ohio Dems.
With Democratic registration down across the country, it is likely that President Obama will not receive the same kind of lift off to his campaign that early voting gave him in 2008.
As much as I delight in seeing anything that refutes the msm constant drone that Obama is going to trounce Romney I think all of this talk BEFORE the election is nonsense. It reminds me of the pre-game NFL TV shows. No matter what the speakers say or argue about it has no meaning. Only the game will determine who the winner is and only the vote on Nov. 6th will determine the winner.
The whole MSM narrative that the polls are in favor of Obama, is nothing but a set up for the massive voter fraud ,that the Dems. Have already set in place, in the swing states, They obviously plan to steal any close election, that they can. these people do not intend to give up power, if there is any possibility , that they can hang on to it. hope for the best, prepare for the worst, and good luck to all, see you on the other side.
Gus – You mean like the voter fraud taking place in Florida by the GOP?
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/09/28/florida-gop-fires-vendor-after-questionable-voter-registrations/
“We have zero tolerance for any threat to the integrity of elections. When we were informed of an alleged incident we immediately cut all ties to the company,” RNC Communications Director Sean Spicer said.
I think your link speaks rather well of the RNC, don’t you? Let’s see if the Democrats follow suit.
Do you even realize that the story you link to is the exact opposite of the GOP engaging in fraud?
With reading comprehension like that it’s no wonder you’d vote for Obama.
That voter fraud in FLA is another very good reason you should be supporting voter photo ID.
It’s OK; the Democrats have just boxes and boxes of absentee ballots in the names of people who don’t exist, who died or moved, or who signed up at the welfare office or when they got their ObamaPhone and who don’t live in the district. Just as soon as the polls close and they know how many votes they need, they’ll cast those absentees.