Bryan’s post, and the article it quotes, are understating the problem with Obama’s scheme, thanks to the magic of compound interest. Let’s take little Suzy with her $212,000. She takes a job at some appropriately socially-oriented inner-city public-service social worker position, and as a result only has 14,110 per year; we take 10 percent of that as her annual payment. Current student loans are apparently at 8 percent. So, her first year, she pays $1,411 against her loan — which cost $16,960 in interest. That’s about $15,549 over her payments.
Under the current terms of these loans, that excess is added to the principal. So, next year, we’re talking about the $212,000 principal, plus$15,549 added. This is what people in the subprime mortgage business called “reverse amortization”. Using the wonders of technology, I put that in a spreadsheet (see below). The outcome is that really, when the loan is forgiven after 20 years, the total loss to the Government is $923,553, which is, not to put too fine a point on it, almost a million dollars!
Spreadsheet:
Year | Payments | Interest | Principal | Rate |
0 | 212,000 | 0.08 | ||
1 | 1411 | 16960 | 227,549 | |
2 | 1411 | 18204 | 244,342 | |
3 | 1411 | 19547 | 262,478 | |
4 | 1411 | 20998 | 282,066 | |
5 | 1411 | 22565 | 303,220 | |
6 | 1411 | 24258 | 326,066 | |
7 | 1411 | 26085 | 350,741 | |
8 | 1411 | 28059 | 377,389 | |
9 | 1411 | 30191 | 406,169 | |
10 | 1411 | 32494 | 437,252 | |
11 | 1411 | 34980 | 470,821 | |
12 | 1411 | 37666 | 507,075 | |
13 | 1411 | 40566 | 546,230 | |
14 | 1411 | 43698 | 588,518 | |
15 | 1411 | 47081 | 634,188 | |
16 | 1411 | 50735 | 683,512 | |
17 | 1411 | 54681 | 736,782 | |
18 | 1411 | 58943 | 794,314 | |
19 | 1411 | 63545 | 856,448 | |
20 | 1411 | 68516 | 923,553 | |
28220 |
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