No to Starting at Zero: The New Republican Foreign Policy Gaffe
Perhaps the biggest gaffe in last night’s Republican presidential candidate debate was the concept introduced by Rick Perry, and seconded by Mitt Romney, that when it comes to foreign aid, the United States has to start with zero. As Bruce Riedel, a former CIA officer and now at the Saban Center at the Brookings Institute points out, the “proposal to start each year with zero dollars in foreign aid allocated for Israel and all other countries would have a very disruptive impact on Israeli military planning and Israeli security. Perry’s idea is bad news for Israel and shows how little he understands its needs.”
Conservatives have pointed out, when discussing the domestic economy, that business needs certainty to make long-term decisions, and the Obama economic policies do not provide that, and thus help prevent the kind of recovery and economic productivity that we need. The same concern, however, holds for foreign policy as well, especially when it comes to Israel’s defense needs.
Riedel writes that the IDF relies on $3 billion in U.S. aid annually, necessary for its ability to maintain a modern defense force that has an advantage over its many enemies. The IDF, he writes, “knows it can plan multiyear purchases of jet aircraft like F15s and other weapons because U.S. aid will be certain for years ahead. Planners love certainty about everything, but especially budgets.”
Hence Israel’s armed forces simply cannot afford the uncertainty that starting from zero would produce, especially since although Perry and others say that Israel will get the aid it needs, each year it would have to send time making the case for such aid, and the constant need to renew the aid would interfere with joint maneuvers as well as the ability to plan for future years. As Riedel puts it, “If you start at zero, you plan zero.” Israel, he points out, plans its budget on multiyear cycles, and “friends don’t rethink their friendships each fiscal year.” While Ron Paul, Pat Buchanan and other Republican isolationists would no doubt be happy with such a policy, the rest of us should have good cause for worry were it to become new U.S. policy.
Riedel ends by arguing that the zero policy could “also send the wrong message to Israel’s foes,” as some of them might assume that perhaps the future would not be such in which Israel would have the kind of military support it needs to fend off threats from the likes of the Mullahs in Iran.
Writing at Politico, Ben Smith quotes Josh Block, a centrist Democrat who formerly was AIPAC’s Director of Communications, and how runs his own shop with Lanny Davis. Block responded to Smith’s query about how pro-Israel forces feel about the starting with zero policy with these words:
When Rick Perry speaks all I can think is oops, and even appearing to question our commitment to Israel certainly falls in that category. Foreign aid is one of the best investments we can make, and it represents one percent of our budget. Israel is special, and our aid to them is a direct investment in our own economy, since it is all security aid and is spent right here at home. If Rick Perry cares about American jobs and America’s national security interests he won’t equivocate about our commitment to Israel on aid or any other subject.
Perry’s camp responded in the form of a statement from Jeff Ballabon, described as a “hawk” working in Perry’s campaign. Ballabon answers that since Perry regards Israel as America’s greatest ally, “anyone wanting to exclude Israel from ‘Start at Zero’ must not believe in Israel’s value as our ally.” Perhaps. But as it is now framed, Israel too would have to wait for Congress to debate for aid is passed, and the debate and policy would greatly work to put Israel at a major disadvantage, despite what might be Perry’s support for Israel. Undoubtedly Israel, as Ballabon claims, would “set the bar” for judging foreign aid for any country.
But think a moment. In the current budget cutting times, we would see many left-wing Democrats and neo-isolationist Republicans begin to argue that the U.S. gives too much foreign aid to countries, when we need funds at home for our own people. Such a self-destructive policy might actually develop broad support, and produce a Republican isolationist and Democratic left-wing coalition, that could cut off a lot of foreign aid, that would then work against Israel’s security needs, despite the concern of many who advocate the “start at zero” policy. Moreover, as Block and others note, foreign aid in reality is a small percentage of our national budget, and a policy that gives a return worth far more in making friends for our country than it does were it cut down or abandoned.
Let’s hope that as the campaign continues, Perry, Romney and others who favor the “start at zero” concept carefully rethink that option—less some of those Jewish votes that might go to the Republicans in key contested states like Florida quickly go back to the Democratic column.






Prof. Radosh has described an alarming, but all too familiar development in the Republican field: neo-isolationism. I wrote about it here: http://clarespark.com/2011/06/03/neo-isolationists-and-the-jewish-problem/. And this time there will be no FDR to rescue America from the new avatars of Charles Lindergh (See Philip Roth: The Plot Against America).
“This time there being no FDR rescuing us from the new avatars of Charles Lindbergh?”
Are you kidding? (….and, you omitted ol’Joe Kennedy…)
This “neo”-isolationism of today, this month, is so very “neo” that it bears little or no relation to the appeasement of the FDR/Lindbergh era. There is freer trade, and little or no tariff embargo problems……the Arabs are sucking up our green cash, in a mutual dependence unthought of in the FDR era.
This “neo”-isolationist right here tapping out this modest proposal is one who thinks that in the ten years since 9/11 we’ve expended enough of our young lives and witnessed countless billions evaporate into “virtuality” inside that vast sponge called Asia…. that it’s time we become even more “neo” by relying on our remotely controlled drones to do our selective killing of those who aim to kill you and me, right now. Let’s kill them first.
This is simply no comparison to the FDR/Lindbergh/Joe Kennedy years.
We become even more “neo” by withdrawing our massed ground forces and that horrendously expensive air (AIR!) pipeline to Central/West Asia and heed the shrieks and wails of the Paki’s which attest to the effectiveness of our drones.
Repeat…the Paki’s themselves are confirming the effectiveness of this new warfare….this, if you will, so-called in some quarters…..”neo”-isolationism.
As a sort of post-script, let me add here that perhaps…perhaps…because I can’t really know…. my man Gov. Perry meant starting our USAID at “Zero” in the rhetorical sense rather than literal. More frequent gimlet eyed annual reviews of USAID, rather than sustaining our existing gushers willy-nilly, decade by decade.
USAID has become, since the 1960′s, an entitlement looked forward to by the Third World, and others. That’s what should stop. We Americans have our own in need.
Like the threat at the end of the article Mr. Radosh. Sure does make me think about just who is upset at this proposal.
There are a number of Israeli posters in the comments sections (albeit they generally hang out on Mr. Totten’s blog) that state the wish that America would just stop the aid/carrot treatment with respect to military hardware and software. These commenters are of the opinion that U.S. aid just mucks up the process and does not give the Israeli govt control and options in how and what is accomplished by the Israeli military. Me, I am of the opinion that any aid we give should never be money. I am all for stationing a carrier group just off shore on a permanent basis. But let us agree that giving money is not only something we can’t afford it also doesn’t and won’t have the effect that is in the best interests of the U.S. and its people.
Israel is the first line of American defense. Israel has been our single most stalwart ally since 1948. To think that Israeli defense is not equivalent to American defense is, simply, not to understand American foreign policy in 2011.
And I am not an Israeli, although I would be proud to be one.
The land of the Jewish State of Israel is a permanent ‘carrier group’ in the eastern Mediteranean, and far cheaper than the annual operating cost for a USN carrier group afloat.
although our sailors and Marines sure do prefer Haifa for shore leave to anywhere east of Greece. Once they arrive in the Fifth Fleet AOR, shore leave is not much fun.
“But as it is now framed, Israel too would have to wait for Congress to debate for aid is passed”
Rick Perry is not endangering Israel. Bruce Riedel is slime jobbing on behalf of the Obama administration. He is one of its top officials! We can take for granted that safeguards will be instituted to protect America’s important ally. Israel will not be starting at zero in any true sense.
“Bruce Riedel is slime jobbing on behalf of the Obama administration”
This is a good point. Bruce Reidel is a policy wonk with a POV. As recently as SEP 2011 he was calling for more diplomacy w/Iran and “pooh-poohing” the consequens of it fielding nuclear weapons (see conclusion, http://www.ndu.edu/inss/docUploaded/RIEDEL_IRAN_US_CSR_REPORT.pdf).
Yeah, Ron, next time get your facts straight. Rick & Mitt know what they’re talking about. The problem is that “Bruce Riedel is slime jobbing on behalf of the Obama administration.”
PS – The whole thing is a set-up. Didn’t you read your pal Roger Simon’s “End the David Axelrod Debating Society Now”? PJM continues to be way funnier than The Onion.
Ah, the peril of being forced to limit your response to sixty seconds!
First, there is quite an intense debate in Israel about the strings the USA attaches to the aid, including the USA dictating that Israel sell defense technologies to Turkey, the NATO “ally”, and the USA constrains Israeli companies from joint ventures, etc. Do NOT even get me started over the F35 JSF being shoved down Israel’s throat (but no modifications with Israel’s superior avionics) while Turkey gets to assemble part of the F-35 JSFs!)
Second, Zero-based budgeting for all Federal (or state or city) expenditures is a good idea. Texas budgets on a two-year cycle, and I assume a President Perry knows to start the zero-base budget process in year ONE to establish a new baseline for four years, since Congress seems to find it impossible to actually produce an annual budget.
Third, Governor Perry has the strongest position on Israel of any candidate, since his first visit to Israel in 1992 as Texas Ag Commissioner. Perry’s depth on Israel as America’s most reliable and important ally in the Middle East is based on his direct experience on economic, trade, technology, and military views of Israel. No other candidate knows more about military hardware than Perry.
Fourth, Gov. Perry had the courage of his convictions to stand next to MK Danon in NYC on Sept 20, 2011, during UN week, calling Obama’s treatment of Israel “naive, arrogant, misguided, and dangerous”
I am truly disappointed that any PJM writer seizes on a sound bite, and a secondary blogpost written in haste on that sound-bite, and does not spend a moment thinking before writing, thinking again while editing, and thinking a third time before posting. The Peretz School of Swiss Cheese Journalism has quite a legacy.
I am still offended by Romney having the chutzpah to mispronounce chutzpah in a prior debate. Where was the outrage?
Fifth, memo to RJC: Obama has made NEW YORK a swing state in 2012.
and only Rick Perry’s team, and maybe Peter King, seems to know that.
The question put to Perry on Israeli aid was a follow-up gotcha that got him. If you could read body language you would have seen a tensing and hesitancy to begin an answer. He also hedged in the answer, if nuance escapes you. If he wasn’t thinking that Israel is a special case while he was answering, I’ll eat my hat.