Roger L. Simon

Turning Right at Hollywood and Vine

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By Roger L Simon

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Robert D. Kaplan has an interesting analysis of that possible attack many are speculating to occur between the election and the inauguration of the next president:

There is a problem, though. Violating, say, Jordanian or Turkish airspace is not really the issue. The issue is that largely because of the on-going Iraq war, the U. S. controls the airspace over the entry points to Iran: in Iraq and in the Persian Gulf. Thus, an Israeli attack on Iran could probably only happen with U. S. connivance. And even if Israel could evade American sensors, few would believe that it honestly did so. As a sort of a last hurrah, one might speculate that Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney would let Israel bomb Iran with a wink and a nod. But I do not believe that Secretary of Defense Robert Gates would do so. And because Gates has emerged as such a critical cabinet member, beloved by both the Pentagon staff and by the media, his word would be crucial.

Gates has shepherded Iraq from nearly a lost cause to a cause that might yet be salvaged. And an Israeli attack on Iran, precisely because it could not occur without both the fact and the appearance of U. S. support, could unleash a fury of Iran-supported bombings inside Iraq. No, Gates would not be on board for an Israeli strike.

I have no knowledge of the extent of Kaplan’s knowledge,  but some have already floated the idea of Gates staying on for an Obama administration.

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3 Comments, 3 Threads

  1. 1. chuck

    Gates has shepherded Iraq from nearly a lost cause to a cause that might yet be salvaged

    It’s gratifying to see a writer for the Atlantic who is only a year behind the curve. It’s a remarkable accomplishment.

  2. 2. Fen

    could unleash a fury of still more Iran-supported bombings inside Iraq

    /fixed

  3. 3. jedrury

    Absurd silly speculation.
    Robert Gates will not become the Bill Cohen, Scott McClellan, David Gergen of the Bush Administration.
    Please get real.
    There are some who need jobs, some who like cuddling with the left,
    some who are simply too dumb to know the difference and then realists who like to be remember in history as being, well, professional.

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