Nate Silver sees trouble with a capital T and that rhymes with D and that stands for Dem:
This year, however, has been characterized by what Charlie Cook calls “head fakes.” Just 10 days ago, Democrats had been benefiting from a string of good polls in Colorado. Since then, the Democratic incumbent in Colorado, Sen. Mark Udall, has seen his situation worsen, with the past five polls showing a lead for Republican Cory Gardner instead.
Silver says the race may come down to last minute ad buys, and Udall has a significant money advantage. If the national GOP fails to show up in force, and Udall pulls out a squeaker, then they’ll have nobody to blame but themselves for losing a very winnable race.