Quick update to yesterday’s Handicapping the House post. RCP still has PA-12 (Murtha’s old district) as a tossup, PPP has Republican Tim Burns with a 44-41 lead over Democrat Mark Critz. Burns is running on an anti-ObamaCare platform. With 44%, he hasn’t sealed the deal, and one poll could just be an outlier.
But, Burns does garner 51% of independents, which might mean his biggest obstacle will be to energize conservatives, centrists, and libertarians.
(Hat tip, Angela Lash‘s Twitter feed.)
And believe me, they’re energized.
UPDATE: From the comments at PPP’s blog — “Dave Wasserman of Cook Political Report is already warning for months that the appalachian trail is going to be ground zero for Dems in Nov.”
That sounds about right. I wasn’t kidding yesterday when I said that the Blue Dogs were an endangered species. They’re also the most useless creatures since the snail darter, so no big loss.
ANOTHER UPDATE: Not so fast. Republican pollster John McLaughlin has a much closer race — Critz at 40, Burns at 39.